To: Knighty Tin who wrote (52382 ) 3/17/1999 4:17:00 PM From: RealMuLan Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
Mike: This Briefing.com analysis on JBL echoes yours. <<JABIL CIRCUIT (JBL) 41. The market remains more impressed with Jabil than is Briefing.com. After the close Tuesday, circuit board manufacturer Jabil Circuits (JBL) reported fiscal second quarter (Feb) profits of $0.28 per share, the classic penny above expectations. That was only two cents ahead of the $0.26 per share reported in the year-ago period, representing 7.7% annual per-share earnings growth. Revenue rose a more impressive 49%, which was up from the 40% year-over-year growth reported in the prior quarter. That is good news and stronger than was expected, but the year-over-year gain is driven largely by acquisitions. The brokerage community seems to be reacting favorably to the report, with some modest upward earnings revisions. Yet, the stock is fairly highly priced given that the ever-expected earnings boom still hasn't materialized. Operating earnings the past twelve months are just $0.97, putting the trailing 12-month price/earnings multiple at over 42. That is up a marginal 3% from the $0.94 for the twelve months prior to that. And, year-over-year per-share earnings growth the past two quarters at 2% and 7%, respectively, isn't very impressive either. Yet, many investors hold out very high hopes for this essentially low tech company. Earnings estimates for the near-term are always very bullish, and this remains the case after yesterday's report. The company gave a generally upbeat presentation (management at most companies is always upbeat unless conditions are terrible). There are definitely prospects for more revenue growth going forward. Yet, it is also worth noting the gross profit margin was 11.3% for the quarter, down from 13.3% in the prior year. JBL isn't exactly exploding in terms of margins or earnings. In fact, given the revenue number this quarter, JBL might have done better than beating earnings estimates by just a penny. Of course, the market has a very optimistic view of earnings for all companies right now, and JBL is no exception. There is a widespread belief that high earnings growth is imminent. The idea that something, somewhere, might go wrong, is generally not included in valuing a stock. So, Briefing.com views JBL as much in line with the overall market - high valuation given sluggish recent earnings growth, but boosted by reasonable optimism and future prospects. All in all, not bad. But not nearly as impressive as the bulls make it out to be. We are still waiting for those big earnings numbers that always seem to be just around the corner. >>