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To: JungleInvestor who wrote (40307)3/18/1999 12:10:00 PM
From: Gary Burton  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Well, Sarge, you convinced me, I bought a bit of UFAB at 8.38--seems to be lagging due to tiny float. I appreciated your rehash of your recent talk with CFO. .....I sold the last of my VTS this am-5 waves up so end of sequence-needs to back off to say 12.50-13. may buy abck then



To: JungleInvestor who wrote (40307)3/18/1999 12:28:00 PM
From: SliderOnTheBlack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Trading ?

PGO with double the EPS for 1999 of VTS - now the same price?; sounds like profit taking time in VTS & rotate into PGO and re-buy VTS on a dip to high $12's imho... I love VTS, but a little heady here; as soon as a couple of major funds quit buying - down she goes in a retracement that is due imho - I see oppportunities to buy in the $12's again... Think the fund manager who dumped VTS to the $8's is feeling a little sick here ?

RIG - higher eps estimates than DO - but cheaper, now cheaper than ATW ? RIG is a buy here...

Laggards - not many left; values look to be GIFI & UFAB - which are in a tier of their own; GMRK & TMAR could be huge movers, HLX & OMNI lagging - but will have their day - these 2 laggards will not go un-noticed much longer - patience; $5 on OMNI & $7 on HLX soon perhaps... anyone think UTI is pricey - could still be a while untill dayrates/utilization endorse this price ? - I see profit taking again soon - some stocks like SLB, SII, CAM, WFT, ATW, UTI have exceed most 1999 price targets... There has to be room to move based on earnings improvements/Rig utilization/dayrate improvements.

Retracement Time ?

Are we due again next Monday - Wednesday (or even tomorrow ?) due to next tuesdays inevitable post OPEC Meeting euphoria letdown ? ...profit taking prudent ? ...food for thought.

I sold all out of PDE ( from $5 to $8) and rotated the $ to PGO today. PGO I don't have to worry about ...may buy some GIFI/UFAB today as well - something is cooking with GIFI !

GIFI has had strong volume and lots of 10K+ shares buy after buy just hitting the ask all week and the MM's refuse to let this dog run ??? MM's keeping a lid on GIFI untill Petronius imho. The volume tells the story... can't loose at this price even if Petronius is not awarded - it's not priced into any expectations. With Petronius - has to be a $15+ stock right here - right now ...

What are we buying/trading here folks ??? idea lists...

Where do we go ?

I see OSX 72ish as a valuation ceiling here - bouncing between 66-72 untill we get more news of OPEC compliance, API/EIA news, and especially news of increasing equipment orders, RIg utilization and dayrates.

OSX 72-85 over this summer as we get into the summer driving season-peak demand for gasoline. Hopefully, we will see things other than just improving Crude prices to reflect an improving enviroment. I don't see us going over OSX 72-85 without strong improvements in dayrates,utilizations and equipment orders...

If we have firm $15+ Oil and positive expectations of Asian demand recovery and people are talking $18 Oil - then this fall/winter we could be moving upward of OSX 85 based on Earnings and year over year improvements... OSX 100 will be the target.



To: JungleInvestor who wrote (40307)3/18/1999 12:31:00 PM
From: SargeK  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
I regard todays OSX market action as healthy

After the quick run up in the past couple of weeks, profit taking should and is occurring. What is refreshing is the "new money" entering the sector, cushioning the impact. It's a staircase and it's headed up. quote.yahoo.com^OSX&d=1d

K