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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jerry Olson who wrote (38739)	3/19/1999 5:35:00 AM
From: William H Huebl	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 94695

OJ, SCY is the stock cash yield ratio. Looking back over the 50 or so years of data I got from VITAS, it is very successful in calling market turns... if you use indicators on it rather than levels as its author Saler did. I still believe it is calling for a strong sell-off because it says it is actually more profitable to be in cash than in stocks... and when you consider the risk of stocks... nuff said. Bill

To: Jerry Olson who wrote (38739)	3/19/1999 8:43:00 AM
From: donald sew	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Jerry, >>>> i read that completely different...lots of bears out there predicting a crash...in fact the bull/bear/correction indicator has moved recently right to the middle, and then move up a bit last week...<<<<< I dont agree. There are really not that many bears calling for a crash. I think most of the bears are saying to be cautious. There are just as many bulls calling for 12000-15000 immediately as there are bears calling for a crash. The majority of the bears and bulls are actually cautious. I think many want to look at the extremes and say that is the norm. Remember the BELL SHAPED CURVE - you have the 2 extremes with the majority in the middle. I guess its only a short-coming in human nature to focus on the extremes. seeya