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To: JRI who wrote (110246)	3/21/1999 9:49:00 AM
From: Lee	Respond to of 176387

Hi John,..Re:.What are your thoughts about the bond market over the next 4-6 weeks John, I generally agree with your assessment; however, have some reservations because of all the things that could affect a bond rally. Dollar needs to stay strong, (Rubin not retiring, nor Greenspan) and the Japanese need to keep their rates low to try to stimulate some inflation again. Their market might be putting in a bottom too which would build confidence and help get demand jump-started. tfc-charts.w2d.com tfc-charts.w2d.com Additionally, we have to be aware that the grains might have put in a multi-year bottom and if demand picks up in SE Asia, then commodity prices are not going to be so tame as in the last several years. tfc-charts.w2d.com tfc-charts.w2d.com tfc-charts.w2d.com tfc-charts.w2d.com Finally, crude prices, although rallying lately on the hope that OPEC will stick to it's quotas are not going to get any big push higher until significant demand has returned. INHO. <g> Of course another country crisis similar to Russia, SE Asia or Brazil could push our rates back toward the 4.7% fairly quickly too. Wish I had a better crystal ball! <g> Regards, Lee