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To: jimmyo who wrote (8911)3/22/1999 4:38:00 PM
From: John F. Dowd  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10227
 
To ALL: Good news from Credit Rating bureau-http://www.newsalert.com/bin/clipstry?StoryId=CnVxoub8ZtJiYmJG5mtaZ&TopicName=topic1

JFD



To: jimmyo who wrote (8911)3/25/1999 5:50:00 PM
From: Anthony Wong  Respond to of 10227
 
Nextel Execs Dismiss Takeover Speculation

By Denise Culver,
Special To Inter@ctive Week
March 22, 1999 11:31 AM ET

Its bottom line continues to show up in vivid red, and
its revised revenue forecast calls for lowered
expectations, but wireless operator Nextel
Communications has all the makings of a company
on the move - right into some other company's
acquisitions portfolio.

Speculation about Nextel's future soared after a
company meeting with analysts last month, at which
Nextel executives reiterated the reasons they aren't
interested in being bought out.

"We clearly are running this business for the long
term," Paul Blalock, Nextel's director of investor
relations, said in an interview following that meeting.
"We clearly need a partner less today than ever."

But it's Nextel's apparent strengths in the wireless
market that are making it more than fair game for a
buyout or merger, with rumored suitors including Craig
McCaw's NextLink Communications. Nextel operates
a nationwide, all-digital wireless network, making it
one of the few companies that can go toe-to-toe with
AT&T Wireless Services on a national scale. Nextel's
core subscriber base is business users, with half of
its wireless traffic derived from a two-way radio service
called Direct Connect.

Nextel's business focus translates to what the
company calls the strongest per-subscriber revenue in
the wireless business. At the end of 1998, Nextel's
monthly revenue per subscriber reached $70, while
the company's digital subscribers more than doubled
from 1.27 million to 2.96 million.

But those silver linings do come with some clouds. At
last month's meeting with analysts, Nextel said
projected revenue for this year would be as much as
18 percent lower than originally expected, and that
per-subscriber revenue probably will fall below the $70
monthly mark. Although the company cut its
bottom-line loss in half in 1998, it still registered a
fourth-quarter loss of $412.9 million on revenue of
$591.6 million.

Another potential trouble spot is the company's
customer turnover rate. While Nextel has one of the
lowest churn rates in the wireless business, that rate
climbed in the last quarter of 1998 to 2 percent per
month, up from 1.4 percent per month a year earlier.

If that upward trend continues, it could be a signal
that Nextel is migrating away from its core business
customer to the consumer market, according to
Herschel Shosteck, a wireless industry analyst and
principal at Herschel Shosteck Associates.

"By itself, the increase in churn is not significant,"
Shosteck says. "But if it continues to increase, it
would be a sign that Nextel is beginning to target the
consumer market, which means lower revenues for
the company in the future."

Nextel's Blalock maintains that churn rate by itself is
not an accurate indicator of the company's
performance, pointing instead to its high revenue per
subscriber. He calculates the net value of Nextel's
customers at about $2,000 per subscriber, as
opposed to less than $1,000 per customer for AT&T
Wireless.

www4.zdnet.com