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To: accountclosed who wrote (26601)3/20/1999 3:14:00 PM
From: Earlie  Respond to of 86076
 
A.R.;

French scholar,...ho, ho, ho. Tell that to my friends if you would. (g).

Best, Earlie




To: accountclosed who wrote (26601)3/21/1999 7:06:00 PM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 86076
 
How dare that pinhead come on TV on tout G. Maybe he can break it out and take it to 70 or 75.

More likely, one of this PM buddies has a large position they want to distribute out to the masses, next week when he is going to dump his
AOL, he will have his friend hype AOL.

I only saw Dudack and Holland talk, as I was only able to break away
from my company for that long.

Dudack was not to sanguine on the health of the market



To: accountclosed who wrote (26601)3/21/1999 10:43:00 PM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 86076
 
The most interesting thing Peter E has been saying lately is that he is looking for bonds
to head lower over the next 6-9 months and has a 108 level targeted,

That would take us back to over 7% and that would beat the hell out of
all of the valuation Models from the Fed's, to Gazarelli's to AJC,
Zweig's, Yardeni you name it and they will be on red light alert. So Eliades
bond comments if they materialize are more important than anything else as stocks will
fall into line, in this scenerio of rising rates.

Peter Eliades' Stockmarket Cycles update for Friday, March 19, 1999. It was quite a
day, wasn't it? Within eight minutes of the opening bell the Dow had exploded above
the 10,000 level and the bulls were convinced this was it. As it turned out, the high for
the day was seen almost exactly eight minutes after the opening bell and the Dow
closed over 180 points below its high. After the smoke had cleared, the simply awful
market internals could be clearly seen once again. The Dow was still up for the week
despite the reversal today, but the daily advance-decline line was down once again
almost another 1000 units and it remains amazingly close to its October 1998 low.
How long can the worst breadth divergence since 1929 go on without the market
showing some affect? We believe we should find out quite soon. If this market moves
directly up another 5-10% over the next few weeks, then it will have made a mockery
out of one more bearish statistic, making the prior ten based multiples resistances on
the Dow 100 and Dow 1000. Incidentally, the new Barron's on the news stands
tomorrow dated March 22 will have an article that we authored about the historic prior
resistance levels of Dow 100, and Dow 1000. We will now watch closely to see how
the Dow will react if it moves back to its 17 ½% envelope above the two year moving
average. Today the envelope stood at 9762.17. It is moving up around 7 points per
day. Will the envelope now start to act as support? If it does, it could mean a bullish
outlook for the Dow. Today the Dow closed 1 ½% above the envelope.
Mutual fund switchers, we did something that we rarely do today, and moved Rydex
switchers immediately back into the Rydex Ursa fund the day after we recommended
exit from the fund. The exit yesterday was prompted by an apparently decisive close
above the envelope discussed here and in our February 5 newsletter. The failure to
follow through to the upside especially with the great resistance that we expect around
Dow 10,000 prompted our recommended return to the fund today. Fidelity Select
switchers are in cash. All mutual fund switchers should call after 3:20 p.m. each market
day and each market evening.
Stock Index Futures traders, we sold our long positions on the June S&P in the first
two minutes of trading when the S&P Cash immediately moved above our exit trigger
of 1317.80. We will use the low average price of the first two minutes or 1336.30 for
a profit of $12.20. We then shorted at 1322.50 on a break of 1322.70. On Monday,
place your stops at 1324.40. Lower those stops to 1219.90 on any move below
1303. June bonds still project to 123 ½ +- ½ a point to the upside, but remember we
also have nominal 78-80 week projections on the bonds to below the 108 level. The
XAU still has lower projections. That's it for now. Have a great weekend. We'll talk to
you tomorrow.