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Technology Stocks : Discuss Year 2000 Issues -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (4870)	3/20/1999 3:16:00 PM
From: Ken	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 9818

Ron: Re; Govt Y2K Knowledge. My opinion is that the govt, specifically the Whitewashed House, knows more than anyone else about how bad it is in the salt mines, and what to expect, and have known for years. They get this info directly from a number of intelligence agencies, tasked with this. And, believe you me, those agencies have got it down as close to 100% as is possible. There is a political agenda behind every public word they utter, none of it in the best interest of the populus. They are forestalling public panic as long as possible, at least until they have all the machinery in place for declaration of Martial Law and State of National Emergency, and for FEMA and the military to be able to effectively take control of all major cities and key infrastructure. Why have Klinton, Gorey and the Queen said virtually nothing about y2k? Remember this statement in 10 months: THE PUBLIC WILL GIVE UP ANY AND ALL CIVIL RIGHTS AND LIBERTIES WHEN THEIR LIVES ARE AT RISK! Apply that trusism to any/all past, present, and espically future govt pronouncements, and you should not any longer be confused by them. Ken "its too..........!"

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (4870)	3/21/1999 11:34:00 PM
From: David Eddy	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9818

Ken - I know people who are working on this issue at some pretty high levels (we're talking people who oftentimes deal with Koskinen's office directly). Even they can't seem to get a handle on the firm data that will provide them a clear and concise assessment of what is going to work and what won't. Basic problem is that folks "at a high level" are accustomed to dealing with summarized (and obviously sanitized) data. Particularly dangerous is the tendency to add things up in spreadsheets. But the sort of data (assuming it existed in some common, meaningful form) that we're talking about simply CANNOT be added up mathematically. You do the math (as pointed out in a GAO study) and you tally the B2 bomber as 2 mission critical systems and the F16 fighter as 82 mission critical systems. Simply doesn't make sense. Also common mistake is to assume that budget numbers (either allocated or consumed) are related to forward progress with systems work. Unless such budget numbers are comming from very serious software development groups (aren't more than a 100 in the entire federal govt) there is minimal correlation between budget & progress. In most shops it's mostly guess work... witness the FAA burning thru $4B & getting nothing. These high level folks are flying blind, only they don't know it since they've never done any sort of serious detail work in their lives. (Balancing a billion dollar budget is guess work, not detail work.) Hrumph! - David