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To: lorne who wrote (30380)3/21/1999 2:03:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116791
 


Banks divided on debt restructuring
CSFB insists its plan is alive, but Russians aren't budging

By Margaret Coker, CBS MarketWatch
Last Update: 11:58 AM ET Mar 19, 1999
RTS
World Markets

MOSCOW (CBS.MW) – The Russian government is giving the cold
shoulder to a renegade proposal put forward by Credit Suisse First
Boston that promises investors a chance to recoup more of the money
they lost when Russia defaulted on its Treasury bills last summer.

Breaking ranks with the other foreign investment banks negotiating with
Russia over debt restructuring plans, CSFB announced this week the
creation of the Nikitsky Fund, which allow holders of the defaulted
treasury bills, or GKOs, to swap their nearly worthless paper for concrete
investment opportunities in Russia. Proceeds from the fund could easily be
repatriated out of the country, a key advantage over the government's
plan.

CSFB has promised its proprietary position in
GKOs plus a $15 million unsecured loan for initial
expenses to kick-off the Nikitsky Fund, a vehicle it
describes as a seven-year recovery fund that would
target infrastructure investments in Russia.

On Aug. 18, the government froze its $40 billion
domestic debt market, and gave up support for the
Russian currency, the ruble. The bonds, held in
most part by international banks and mutual funds,
have devalued to an estimated $12 billion.

5 cents on dollar

Investors have been offered a government plan to
swap the old debt paper for new longer-dated
issues and some cash, with limited opportunities to
invest and repatriate proceeds, which CSFB and
other banks have valued as a return worth as little
as 5 cents per dollar of original investment.

This week, CSFB reported a loss of 221 million
Swiss francs ($154 million dollars) in 1998, and took a $124 billion
charge in provisions due to Russia's financial crisis. CSFB's exposure to
Russia totals $2.4 billion, of which loans amount to $1.4 billion. The bank
was one of the five largest non-Russian investors in the Treasury market at
the time of default. Its GKO portfolio was said to total 40 percent of the
outstanding amount of GKOs held by foreigners, a fact that makes debt
restructuring a major issue for the investment bank.

Analysts believe that if the bank attracted a critical mass of the GKOs
held by foreigners, it could haggle with the government for better
redemption terms in what has been the biggest sovereign default in recent
history. But the outlook for success is mixed.

CSFB broke ranks with the group of six banks selected to negotiate with
the Russians. The group had failed to win significant concessions from the
Finance Ministry in months of talks on restructuring the bond market.
Deutsche Bank, Chase Manhattan (CMB) and Credit Lyonnais have
already expressed their willingness to go along with the terms of the
government proposal.

April 15 deadline

The government says two-thirds of all the bonds have already been
swapped under its scheme, including one-third of all foreign holdings,
despite the fact that all the details on the swap won't be released until
Monday. The deadline for converting the old bills is April 15 -- a date that
has changed many times before, giving at least some hope of success for
CSFB's plan, banking sources say.

CSFB's chief executive, Allen Wheat, had insisted the government was
ready to discuss the new proposal if there were major support among
foreign investors, but he did not say who was ready to negotiate, Reuters
reported on Tuesday.

Since then, a marching line of Russian officials have all said they aren't
even considering the CSFB offer. A debt swap meeting chaired by Prime
Minister Yevgeny Primakov this week did not even discuss the proposal,
a Finance Ministry official said.

Finance Minster Mikhail Zadornov went further. "We did not hold and do
not intend to hold any talks with the Nikitsky Fund or CSFB about
changing the terms of exchange," he told reporters. "The bank is
misleading its clients. They are creating completely unrealistic hopes and
expectations and our fear is that these clients by following these
expectations may lose what they should get under our exchange system."

In the face of such a cold response, CSFB isn't talking -- or backing
down. A CSFB spokesperson contacted in London on Friday would not
disclose further details either about the future of the proposal or further
strategy with the government.

"We are not making any more comments on the record at this time," she
said, but added the proposal was still on the table.

Margaret Coker is Moscow correspondent for CBS MarketWatch.
cbs.marketwatch.com