To: Ken who wrote (4941 ) 3/21/1999 6:38:00 PM From: Hawkmoon Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9818
......wrong again, Ron...but, then, I have addressed these statements in past posts to you, ad naseum! Give up trying to invalidate my related statements by such specious statements. I would sure like to see the documented support for these past statements. You can't... because if they even exist, neither you nor I have access to them. We're sitting here relying on information from conferences of Y2K talking heads, some credible and genuine, some in it for the "fame and fortune" they receive from speaking fees. (though I don't accuse all folks on paid speaking tours to be unreliable). As for embedded systems and Electric Utilities, you're merely repeating the same hearsay and undocumentable evidence that most of us have already look at. No one in the utilities either fully understand themselves, or are willing to speak publicly about this topic (that I've seen). Even Rick Cowles, can't seem to get a handle on the actual prognosis on exactly what the vulnerability level is (or he isn't talking about openly about it). He sees problems, and based upon his expertise (which I don't deny), he has maken a "SWAG" and stated we're should expect a percentage chance of black-outs and brown-outs for the first month, with minor disruptions throughout the rest of the year. So unless you are a certified Nuclear engineer, with years of experience working in the utilities arena as he has, I frankly don't see why you more qualified than he to render a prognostication. Ken, let's face some facts here. You can not accept any alternative scenario than utter doomsday. You see nothing but defeat and disaster in your future and I imagine you have some pretty terrible nightmares as well. I'm starting to sense you're the symbiotic twin of Gary North who has been predicting the end of the world for 20 years now, with Y2K being only his latest paradigm to destruction. I do not deny the potential for utter disaster. But neither do I deny the potential for relativey no disruptions either. We're going to fall somewhere in between normality and chaos. Where we wind up is the real question. I prefer to keep my mind open to all potentialities and not frighten myself or my loved ones with only the darkest scenarios of disaster and chaos.But, still the probablity of accidental/inadvertant exchange, esp with the Russian 'dead-hand' system (bet you do not know what that is, do you?) is less than severe Y2K disruptions... Might you be referring to "Perimeter"?? Regards, Ron