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Biotech / Medical : PFE (Pfizer) How high will it go? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Joe S Pack who wrote (7269)	3/22/1999 4:36:00 PM
From: Anthony Wong	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 9523

Switzerland's Health Insurance May Pay for Viagra Bloomberg News Mar 22 1999 11:32AM ET Pfizer Says Switzerland's Health Insurance May Pay for Viagra Zurich, March 22 (Bloomberg) -- Pfizer Inc. said the Swiss Federal Department for Social Insurance recommended that Swiss health-care insurers be obliged to meet their customers' costs of using Viagra, Pfizer's anti-impotence drug. The fourth-largest U.S. drugmaker said it welcomed the decision to end what it calls ''discrimination'' in Switzerland's health-care system against men with erectile dysfunction. Pfizer, which sold 530,000 Viagra tablets -- or one for every 6.4 Swiss men -- worth 5.3 million Swiss francs ($3.7 million) in the drug's first six months on the Swiss market, is aiming to boost sales in a country where it is already one of the fastest-selling prescription drugs. ''Based on calculations by Pfizer, the cost of the drug can be justified within the framework of current medical practice,'' the company said, adding that it hopes the Swiss government follows through on the agency's recommendation and requires private insurance companies to cover the cost of the pills -- about 10 francs each. Viagra became the fastest-growing prescription drug in the world when it was introduced last year in the U.S., Europe and elsewhere on a wave of publicity not seen for any drug since Eli Lilly & Co.'s blockbuster depression drug Prozac. Viagra vies with Roche Holding AG's anti-obesity drug Xenical as Switzerland's fastest-growing prescription drug. About 31 percent of men report they have sexual problems although they rarely receive medical treatment for their condition, according to a study published last month in the Journal of the American Medical Association. Pfizer shares rose 2 1/8 to 142 7/8.

To: Joe S Pack who wrote (7269)	3/23/1999 10:14:00 PM
From: BigKNY3	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9523

The Peabody Mini-Report: 3/23/99 The PRN Mini- Peabody Report is intended to foster conversation on the PFEr Board. Comments are welcome and encouraged. Invest only after conducting your own research. Have PFun! marimba.com BigKNY3 __________________________________________________________ PFE Stats (3/23/99): Higher volume, all-time high and 6 point intraday spread may indicate Da Peak PFE Versus the Dow- Intraday quicken.com DOW JONES: Close: 9,672 -219 PFE - PFIZER INC Last Price: 139 1/4 at 16:29 Change: Down 3 13/16 (-2.66%) High: 144 1/2 at 9:36 Low: 138 9/16 at 15:46 Open: 143 11/16 Previous Close: 143 1/16 on 3/22 Volume: 2,833,400 30-Day Avg. Volume: 2,498,000 Shares Outstanding: 1,297,794,000 52-Week High: 143.93 52-Week Low: 86 Beta: 0.97 Yield: 0.60% P/E Ratio: 54.6 EPS: 2.55 _____________ The Peabody Model -Click here for a summary of the principles behind the Peabody Model. Short-Term PFE Trend: PFE will reverse and move lower (3/08/99) The target Peabody Peak of 139.84 was reached on 3/8/99 . According, the Model automatically predicts PFE will reverse due to profit-taking at the target Peak. Accordingly, Da Model predicts PFE is heading lower to a new Peabody Valley in the high 120s. Long-term PFE will surpass 150 before the anticipated effective date of the 3-1 split on July 1, 1999. Target Peabody Valley: The new target Peabody Valley has been raised to 128.27 (-7.9%) by 4/1/99. The Valley Strike Price is 135.0. Target Peabody Peak: If the Model is wrong, the target Peabody Peak is 146.21 (+5.0%). Predicted PFE Level: At the current record Dow level of 9,672, the predicted PFE price is 136.65..... Accordingly, PFE is 1.9% overpriced as compared to historical Dow and PFE trends. Da Short-term PForecast (3/23/99) PFE: 139.25, Dow: 9,672: No change from the 3/07/99 Peabody Mini-Report. Da Gut Feel (3/07/99): PFE will now battle at $140. Expect profit-taking at all time highs and even a possible drop back to the high 120s. But, in this positive market environment, PFE is heading higher to the long awaited $150 level. How soon? The Consensus PFEr Challenge (47 entries) predicts by 4/27/99. Suggested PFE Buying Range: $125 to $135 (3/23/99) The Peabody Portfolio: We have a double (+103.9%) The Peabody Portfolio consists of 29 PFE purchase recommendations listed on the PFEr Board since August 14, 1996. The Portfolio has purchased 4,500 PFE shares at an average price of $68.29 (only 3.5% off the subsequent next PFE Valleys). # PFE purchases since 8/14/96: 29 % of purchases in the black: 100% # PFE shares purchased: 4,500 Average PFE purchase price: $68.29 Annualized return: 88.2% Current return: 103.9% # PFE purchases since 1/01/99: 2 % of purchases in the black: 100% # PFE shares purchased: 200 Average PFE purchase price: $113.63 Annualized return: 116.8% Current return: 22.6% Date............#..........Purchase Purchased...Shares...Price 8/14/96:..... 200 ........$36.38 10/25/96:....200 .........$40.44 12/4/96:......200..........$41.69 12/12/96:.....200.........$40.50 12/16/96:.....200.........$40.44 12/31/96:....200..........$41.50 1/2/97:........200.........$40.94 1/28/97: ......200..........$42.38 2/28/97:.......200...........$45.69 3/24/97:.......200...........$44.88 3/27/97:.......200...........$42.81 3/31/97:........200..........$42.56 8/8/97:..........200..........$55.13 4/16/98:........200...........$97.00 4/27/98:........200...........$113.00 5/7/98:..........200...........$107.50 5/15/98:.........100..........$105.00 5/27/98 :........100 .........$101.75 7/06/98 :........100 .........$106.00 7/29/98 :........100 .........$110.50 8/05/98 :........100 .........$104.00 8/07/98 :........100 .........$102.63 8/11/98..........100..........$100.00 9/01/98..........100..........$97.63 10/06/98.........100..........$94.00 10/09/98.........100..........$89.00 10/14/98.........100..........$89.50 01/10/99.........100........$117.00 01/12/99.........100........$110.25 Total:............4,500.........$68.29 ______________________________________________________ Peabody Peaks & Valleys: Updated 3/23/99 Listed below is an updated summary of the Peabody Peaks and Valleys since 1/04/90. The columns include the following data: - PFE prices - % change since the previous Peabody Valley or Peak - # of days from the last Peabody Valley or Peak - # of high volume days associated with the Peabody Valley or Peak - predicted next Peabody Valley or Peak using the Model - difference between the predicted Peabody price and the actual price . ___________________________________________________ ................................................................................ Predicted .........................................% Chg... # Days..High Vol..Peabody....% Diff ...............................PFE.....Last........Last....Days ....Next Pred..Peabody/ Peak/Valley.. Date...Price...Vall/Pk....Val/Pk. W/ Date...Vall/Pk....Actual 1....Peak.....1/4/90....9.06.................................. 2....... 6.92........1.5% 2....Valley...2/26/90...6.81.....-24.8%..... 53........12......11.31.......19.0% 3....Peak.... 7/31/90...9.50......39.4%.....155.......21........7.31....... -8.7% 4....Valley...8/23/90...8.00.....-15.8%..... 23..........1.......12.61 .....-41.3% 5....Peak.....2/30/91..21.50...168.8%... 494 .........9.......18.07...... 4.9% 6....Valley...2/19/92...17.22...-19.9%......51..........8.......22.76...... 19.2% 7....Peak.....2/27/92...19.10....10.9% .......8 .........2.......15.91...... -6.4% 8...Valley....4/28/92...17.00....-11.0%......61.........3.......22.52....... 8.2% 9....Peak.....8/20/92...20.81.....22.4%....114........4........17.45 .......+0.4% 10..Valley...10/5/92....17.38....-16.5%......46.......10.......22.93.......14.7% 11..Peak.....2/14/92 ...20.00.....15.1%......70........3.......16.72........27.4% 12..Valley....2/22/93 ...13.13 ...-34.4%..... 70 .....33.......18.25 ......14.5% 13..Peak.....3/11/93 ...15.94 ....21.4%......17 . .....3.......13.08 .... -8.2% 14..Valley....3/24/93 ...14.25 ...-10.6%......13........1........19.49......3.1% 15..Peak.....6/17/93 ...18.90.....32.6%...... 85.......6.......15.73 .....13.1% 16..Valley...8/16/93 ...13.92 ....-26.4%..... 60.....13.......19.13 .....17.2% 17..Peak.....9/03/93....16.31......17.2%......18.......1.......13.41......-7.1% 18..Valley...10/04/93...14.44 ....-11.5%......31.......1.......19.70 .....11.9% 19..Peak.... 12/30/93...17.60 .....21.9%......87.......0......14.57 .......9.7% 20..Valley....3/31/94....13.29 ....-24.5%......91.......2......18.43......-18.1% 21..Peak......3/29/95....22.50.....69.4%.....363......3......18.96.......-5.8% 22..Valley.....5/15/95....20.13..... -10.6%.....47......5......25.96........0.6% 23..Peak......8/1/95......25.81......28.3%..... 78..... 5......21.93 ......-5.7% 24..Valley....9/8/95.......23.25.....-9.9%....... 38....10.....29.40 .......-12.1% 25..Peak.....12/14/95....33.44.....43.8%.......97......5.....28.77.........-4.9% 26..Valley.....1/19/96.....30.25.....-9.5%.......36....14..... 37.10.........4.9% 27..Peak.......2/13/96.....35.38....16.9%.......25.....4...... 30.50 ........-0.8% 28..Valley.....3/14/96..... 30.75....-13.1%......30.....11.....37.65.........4.0% 29..Peak.......4/3/96 ......36.19....17.7%.......20..... 2......31.23 .......-0.7% 30..Valley......5/8/96......31.44....-13.1%......35......3......38.41........-0.7% 31..Peak.......6/17/96.....38.69....23.1%.......40......3......33.47........2.0% 32..Valley......7/16/96.....32.81....-15.2%.....29......2.......39.92........-7.7% 33..Peak.....10/21/96......43.25...31.8%.......97..... 5.......37.56....... -4.9% 34..Valley....10/28/96.....39.50....-8.7%........7.......5.......47.28 ....... 3.6% 35..Peak.....11/26/96 .....45.63...15.5%......29.......4.......39.69 .......-0.1% 36..Valley....12/6/96 .......39.75...-12.9%.....10.......5.......47.56........-4.6% 37..Peak.......2/18/97......49.88...25.5%......74...... 5.......43.50.........4.8% 38..Valley..... 4/03/97......41.50...-16.8%.....44.....15.......49.48........30.9% 39..Peak.......7/07/97.......64.75.. 56.0%......95 ....18.....55.13 .........-7.4% 40...Valley....8/18/97........51.06...-21.1%.....42 ...11.....66.88.........10.1% 41...Peak....10/24/97.......73.63 ...44.2%......67.....3 ....62.00...........4.8% 42...Valley...10/27/97.......65.00 ...-11.7% .....4.....2.....85.50.........-12.1% 43...Peak....10/30/97.......74.88.....15.2% .....2..... 3.....66.00.........+0.5% 44...Valley...11/13/97.......66.31....-11.3%....14.... 3.....83.00.........-3.6% 45...Peak....12/04/97.......80.00.....20.6%....21.....2......69.13.......+0.6% 46...Valley...12/19/97.......69.56....-13.0%....15.....1......87.13........+9.0% 47...Peak......1/05/98.......79.94.....14.9% ....17....1......69.38 ....... -2.4% 48...Valley... 1/12/98...... 71.06.....-11.1% .... 7....3 .....87.00........ -4.9% 49...Peak..... 2/27/98...... 91.44.......28.7% ...46 ...1 ....79.87 ....... -5.1% 50...Valley....3/06/98.......84.13.........-8.0% .... 7 ...3....103.71.......+0.0% 51....Peak.....4/06/98 ....103.75........23.3%...31...13.....91.86 ........-3.6% 52...Valley.... 4/16/98......95.31........ -8.1%....10 ....1...116.50 ........-4.3% 53...Peak......4/21/98.....121.75.........27.7%.....5 ....8...109.12..........4.5% 54...Valley....5/17/98 .....104.75........-14.0% ...26 ..2....124.00.......+8.6% 55....Peak ....5/20/98 .....114.19.........9.0%......3 ...4 ....101.10.......+0.8% 56 ...Valley.. 6/01/98......100.38........-12.1%....12...5 ....119.75.......+4.2% 57....Peak.... 6/18/98 ....114.94..........14.5%....17...1 ...102.00........-3.4% 58....Valley.. 7/06/98 .....105.63......... -8.1% ...18 ..4.....126.59.......+5.0% 59....Peak ...7/14/98......120.56..........14.1% .....8 ..4....107.00........+9.2% 60... Valley... 8/11/98......98.00.........-18.7%.....28...1.....117.19.......+7.6% 61....Peak...8/19/98.......108.94..........10.6% .....8 ..1.......97.06........+5.5% 62....Valley.. 9/01/98 ..... 92.00......... -15.5% ...13 ..6....109.79.......+7.6% 63....Peak ...9/03/98......102.06..........10.9% ......2....5.....90.32........-3.4% 64... Valley.. 9/04/98......93.50...........-8.4%........1... 5...110.79.......+6.7% 65....Peak.....9/15/98.....103.88........+11.1%.....11...0.... 92.25.......-2.9% 66....Valley....9/21/98......95.00.........-8.5%.........6...0....110.00.....+0.7% 67....Peak.....9/28/98.....109.19........+14.9%...... 7...2......96.93.....+12.7% 68....Valley...10/08/98......86.00........-21.3%.....10...5......101.40.....+4.6% 69....Peak.....10/12/98.... 96.94........+12.7%.......4...0.... 85.30......-3.6% 70....Valley...10/14/98......88.50.........-8.7%........2...2....103.36.......-19.8% 71....Peak....12/31/98 ... 128.94......+45.7%.......78...1.....114.00.......+4.1% 72....Valley...1/12/99......109.56........-15.0%.....12...4.....127.49........-5.3% 73....Peak....2/02/99 ... 134.63.......+22.9%......21...5.....118.66.......-5.1% 74....Valley...2/09/99......125.00........-7.1%.........7.....0....139.84........-3.2% 75....Peak....3/23/99 ... 144.50.........+15.6%....42....1 ........Pending ______________________________________________ Average..Peak (1999) N=2..............+19.2%.....32.............3 Average..Peak (1998) N=13............+18.3%.....18 ............3 Average..Peak (1997) N= 5.............+32.3%.....52.............7 Average..Peak (90-99) N=38...........+28.0%.....64 ............4 Average..Valley (1999) N= 2 ......... -11.1%......10 .............2 Average..Valley (1998) N=12 ......... -12.1%.....12 .............3 Average.. Valley (1997) N= 5...........-14.2%.....10 .............2 Average..Valley (90-99) N=37 .........-14.2%.....29 .............6 The Peabody 1999 Archives Comprehensive Peabody Reports 2/28/99 Predicted March range of 125 to 142 1/31/99 Predicted February PFE range 119 to 135 +http://www3.techstocks.com/~wsapi/investor/reply-75801481/10/99 1/10/99 Guaranteed PFE split and noted PFE buying opportunity www3.techstocks.com The Peabody Mini-Reports 3/16/99 3/11/99 3/08/99 3/07/99 2/23/99 2/14/99 2/09/99 www3.techstocks.com 2/02/99 www3.techstocks.com 1/28/99 www3.techstocks.com 1/27/99 www3.techstocks.com 1/26/99 www3.techstocks.com 1/24/99 www3.techstocks.com