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Pastimes : WORLD WAR III -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (497)	3/23/1999 6:03:00 AM
From: Neocon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 765

The Serbs are the ones who have the most destabilizing intentions in the region, therefore they are the one's who could use humbling. No one is disputing their right to Kosovo, only their right to decimate the Albanians in order to drive them out or force them to assimilate. If NATO cannot do something to prevent chaos in the Balkans, which will almost certainly embroil two members (Greece and Turkey), will invite participation by neighbors (such as Croatia), and will lead to another round of refugees streaming into Germany and Austria, and, at a minimum, political and diplomatic turmoil among our principal allies, then it will have lost most of its credibility, and aggressor regimes will be everywhere encouraged. Besides, it is not clear that we can afford to let the Muslim world perceive us as turning our backs on genocide involving Muslims, or leave an aid gap they will be tempted to fill.

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (497)	3/24/1999 10:15:00 AM
From: nuke44	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 765

All in all, it's really a no-win situation for us. On one hand, if (when) we intervene militarily we stand to lose American troops. We also will be calling Russia's hand on just how far they are willing to go to support their traditional allies in Serbia. On the other side of the coin, without a significant (read that bloody and massively destructive) intervention that effectively stops the Serbs, we risk allowing a chain of events to unfold in the Balkans that could bring us closer to World War III than we have been in almost 30 years. I spent 18 months in Greece and a total of 30 months in Turkey during my Air Force career. I can testify that at any given moment, they are only one half-assed excuse or perceived threat from going at each other tooth and nail. Armed warfare on Greece's border has a chance of igniting a conflict that could be impossible to contain, short of a miracle. Just think, there would be armies shooting at each other from the northern Adriatic to the Persian Gulf. If you look at your map, the only things seperating Milosevic and Saddam, are Greece and Turkey. It doesn't take a clairvoyant to see that such a scenario could be the impetus to start something we can't stop. Faced with those choices, I don't believe we have much option than to try to bring things to a halt now, if we can. I can't help but wish that we had someone that we could trust at the helm for the immediate future. Sometimes, it's not just "the economy, stupid". No matter what happens, I believe that we are at a watershed moment. Whatever happens in Serbia and Kosovo over the next few weeks could well establish the dynamic that will determine what the history books have to say about the 21st century.