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To: KeepItSimple who wrote (46886)3/23/1999 10:45:00 AM
From: H James Morris  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
>>I recommend a nice chunk of Dell puts.<,
Kis, I prefer gateway puts. Ted Waite want's to throw another $bil shares @ the Street. Now, he's another slut.



To: KeepItSimple who wrote (46886)3/23/1999 2:40:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
8
would assign to a US origination. DoubleClick
shared with us an example that one of the top 5
sites on the Web sent DCLK their log files to test
the size of their international traffic. This site
believed that 16% of their audience was coming
from 10 countries outside the US. DoubleClick,
using their IP database, showed the actual
number coming from those 10 countries was
32%. This is one of the reasons why Sportsline
has chosen DoubleClick to sell their
International ad inventory. Not only can
DoubleClick identify and target international
inventory better, they can bring their
international direct salesforce to bear for a US
Web site who cannot afford to field a salesforce
outside of the US. Again, we believe this is a
win-win-win: for multi-national advertisers who
want a one-stop advertising buy for the US and
international, for publishers who want to
monetize their (currently undervalued)
international inventory, and for DoubleClick
who participates in this revenue stream and adds
to the breadth and depth of their inventory.
If You Thought Microsoft Sidewalk Was A Good
Proxy For Local Advertising…
While Digital Cities, Sidewalk, Ticketmaster-Citysearch
and others tout the local advertising
opportunity aggregate eyeballs around local
content, today DoubleClick can aggregate local
eyeballs around any content. For example, the
DoubleClick Network has 1million visitors from
New York City per month. If you are a local car
dealer, say Potamkin, would you rather reach
NYC-based users when they are looking up local
restaurant and movie information or when they
are looking at car information on Autobytel or
Kelley's Blue Book? And for which would you
pay more? With DoubleClick Local, advertisers
can target on a geographic basis (paying a higher
CPM for a much more valuable buy) and
publishers benefit because their inventory can
get a higher CPM. On its own, a site would
never have enough “local” inventory to offer a
sizable population of users to anyone, but as the
owner of an expanding network, DoubleClick
has a large enough breadth (and fine enough
comb to filter with) to offer a sizable “local”
media buy on the Internet.
With The Alta-Vista Overhang Gone, The Street
Can Concentrate On What Matters
DoubleClick management insists that Compaq
isn't interested in owning a #10 portal and wants
to grow the property into a formidable
competitor to Yahoo!, MSN, and AOL. Prima
facie, this statement seems supported by
Compaq's recent actions on this front (the
purchase of Shopping.com and Zip2) and the
tacit implication that Compaq has some more
announcements/deals up their sleeve. Even if
Compaq doesn't materially change the Media
Metrix ranking for Alta-Vista, the DoubleClick
business probably won't suffer much. Net-net,
Alta-Vista is neutral at worst, and very positive
at best to DCLK.
The Model Stays The Same…For Now
We're not making any changes to our model for
1999 or beyond, though clearly we believe that
the visibility of the results (particularly revenue)
increases nicely. We're going to keep our
powder dry until DoubleClick reports their
March quarter sometime in the middle of April.
It's important to recall that management's
insistence on the idea that investment, not
profits, is key to deriving the greatest economic
value from their Internet advertising opportunity.
As such, they remain in investment mode;
expect S&M and R&D to have nice increases as
DCLK continues to expand internationally and
as the Closed Loop products/services roll-out.
Valuation Goes Up On Visibility And
Competitive Advantage
Though we're not changing our model
assumptions at this time, there can be no doubt
that the visibility of and confidence in the top
line here reduces the risk associated with the