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To: Rob S. who wrote (46950)3/23/1999 2:03:00 PM
From: Mark Fowler  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
Moving down to
70 will only be a small correction for Amazongonenutty.com, IMO.<<

Moving down to 70 from here will only result in damaged goods guy and you know it.



To: Rob S. who wrote (46950)3/23/1999 2:38:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
5
Though we go into much greater detail in the rest
of the note, we note three key reasons for the
upgrade: (1) the network business is as strong as
ever and with the recent decision to open up the
DoubleClick Network on a non-exclusive basis,
we expect inventory to increase smartly in 1999,
with a nice pickup in revenue in a few quarters
as well; (2) the DART business has really turned
a corner, and we believe it could well become
the de-facto standard for ad serving. With
DoubleClick's new product suite Closed Loop
(DART for Advertisers, Boomerang, DataBank)
out of Beta or very close to release, we believe
that DART revenue could show nice increases
throughout 1999; and (3) that targeting will
become increasingly important to Internet
advertisers in 1999. Internet advertisers are
demanding better results from their online media
buys than many are currently getting, and though
content-specific targeting (like sponsorships) has
its merits, getting the right message to the right
person at the right time (which is the real reason
the Internet has been hyped as the perfect
advertising medium) can only really be done via
behavioral targeting, which is what DoubleClick
is all about.
Importantly, the power of positive feedback
loops and increasing returns power each of their
products, with success in the Network side
begetting success in the DART business, which
powers the new Closed Loop products, which
helps DoubleClick target advertising for their
clients to an even finer degree. And based on our
conversations with the advertising community (a
list of companies we've contacted appears at the
bottom of this first call note), we think
DoubleClick has reached that critical mass point
in their development. So just like no MIS
manager ever got fired for buying IBM in the
1980's or Microsoft in the 1990's, in the
advertising world, DoubleClick has become the
“safe” buy, with a product recognition and
service reputation that is second to none.
The DoubleClick Network Goes “Non-exclusive”
This quarter, DCLK has expanded their network,
for the first time allowing sites in on a non-exclusive
basis (previously the growth of the
network was somewhat limited by the fact that
DCLK required exclusive ad sales
representation). This is a significant shift from
both a tactical and strategic point of view, since
it immediately increases the reach of the
DoubleClick network (now at #5 with a 48%
reach of Internet users against AOL at 54%,
Microsoft at 52%, Yahoo at 51%, and Lycos at
49%) and eventually could add enough inventory
to further enhance DoubleClick's targeting
efforts. After all, the larger the reach, the greater
number of “slices” DoubleClick could offer, say
P&G.
Greater Reach Equals More Inventory Equals
More Revenue, But Wait…There's More
Increased reach makes the DoubleClick Network
a better buy for advertisers and a larger network
gives DCLK greater access to more revenue, the
two most important (and immediately positive
impacts of expanding the Network to non-exclusives).
Remember, however, that revenue
is enhanced also from the fact that the Network
is creating more targeted inventory for which
DCLK can charge a higher CPM. This even in a
decreasing pricing environment (average
industry-wide CMP's in Q498 dropped to
$35.13, down 8% y/y and 3% q/q according to a
study by AdKnowledge). Prior to the expanded
network, 29 out of the 30 sites that wanted to be
part of the DoubleClick Network were not
allowed in; since the non-exclusive
announcement, 15 out of the 30 Web publishers
that want to give ad inventory to DoubleClick
are accepted.
Now DoubleClick Can Get Paid To Monetize
Leading Sites' Unsold Inventory
From a publisher perspective, the new non-exclusive
arrangement makes lots of sense; they