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Politics : Idea Of The Day -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: steve susko who wrote (24659)3/24/1999 3:28:00 AM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 50167
 
Steve I wish I had this magic wand to tell you how many points will DOW sell. In actual life things don't work that way, when I gave my first bhumbo prediction I called for that 1030 level nearly quite some time back , in a uptrending market I could see on basis of my fundamentals a possibility of such a long call. Again I nailed 1230 and 1330 and it was fundamentals supporting the move up.. I was out on Friday because I thought Kosovo will come in to foreplay in ext few days I posted the problem and decided to pull the string it was at 2093 level on NDX, now I think I will be wrong to predict a move beyond my capacity, for me I have these oft repeated levels I will work with them, market is a fluid place and I would like to maintain fluidity of movement in day trading techniques, fossilized ideas and petrified levels don't really work. it is thinking game, it is about keep thinking and making the best of what market gives you, as I say no one is bigger than the markets, humility demands that one should not forecast the direction of the 'juggernaut' but to be a humble appreciate of market change of modes.

On fluidity and direction from incidents, Last night, I had --- calls on JPN 155 and I had hedged this position by selling June 170 calls, I decided to lift the leg of my long calls and left the naked calls on this index running, I thought after carnage in US we would see the huge drop, it was 1.49 PM in the night. I was half sleeping however it occurred to me that may be this is not the right strategy as markets can move money to Japan and I will be caught, so what I did was to sell my in the money exposure for 15 $ and change JPN's and added 180 June's for 4 and change only half of the qty to protect myself from a big move up in Japan..

It is all about interim levels in day trading and in and out trades we need to be careful and lets keep ourselves focussed on the real thing.