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Non-Tech : Philip Morris - A Stock For Wealth Or Poverty (MO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: don kramer who wrote (3432)3/24/1999 6:00:00 PM
From: Walter in HK  Respond to of 6439
 
China: Just my observation. I spent 3 weeks in 7 cities in 1996 and visited four cities in May of 1998 when we were invited to the 100th anniversary of Peking University (May 4, a big deal, Jiang Zemin and polit bureau at Great Hall of the People. Security).

Yesterday I got the MO Annual Report, and it is clear, they make as much money internationally in tobacco as they do in the US. Food and beer is extra.

All I am saying is, the world has a lot of people, the cold war is over, stability is good for higher per capita income and they like Marlboro, more and more can afford Marlboro.

The improvement in the standard of living in China is remarkable, my new wife has been visiting many places there since 1980 and is astounded.

In China - we all know what the population is - and in Hong Kong they still have ashtrays on the restaurant tables. Why, you can buy Marlboro in Dunhuang, a big oasis way, way out west, on the silk road.

We just have to look at MO as a company minus the US tobacco profit. Sales of cigarettes will be there but the profit will mostly go to the lawyers. If the situation develops better than that - look at it as gravy.



To: don kramer who wrote (3432)3/31/1999 4:04:00 AM
From: don kramer  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 6439
 
A psychological disaster...there are now no longer any persuasive
reasons to introduce in to your portfolio new positions in MO.

To paraphase from my insider info of a major giant
institutional manager. The indivduals and managers were
instructed, essentially to close down ...no more accumulation
of MO.

One can expect that other portfolio managers have been instructed
along the same lines.

In view of the obvious alternatives to the market place,
in conjunction with Mr. Greenspan's obvious contentment with
general price valuation. The alternatives for major money
managers , who for the most part, must obey the prudent man
rule, further introduction of MO shares to an account might
prompt question as to whether the money manager is following the
prudent man rule. As well, as possibilility of regulator
questions. I draw your attention to the real possibility that
a state government or the federal government might begin to ask
why are you placing your beneficiaries at risk with MO in your
portfolio. Public money such as CAWPERs and TIAA CREF It is becoming extremely difficult to answer that question.

There for, regardless of the important internnational case
in Baltimore i.e., Guatemala vs. tobacco, regardless of the
time and money to "settle ? the state suits", regardless the
brilliance? of MO's lawyers, and regardless of the Appelate court
decisions, there remains the fact that today caused alot of
long term buyers to stop buying. And under (?probably) internal
instructions will not be buying for some time.

I agree. I in good conscious can not recommend the stock anymore.

dk (still long person account).