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Technology Stocks : Network Solutions (NSOL) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Internet Jones who wrote (617)3/25/1999 10:35:00 PM
From: Jenne  Respond to of 1377
 
Network Solutions drops on short seller report
By Aaron Pressman

WASHINGTON, March 25 (Reuters) - Shares of Network Solutions Inc. (Nasdaq:NSOL - news), the company that registers the names of most Internet sites, dropped almost 10 percent on Thursday following negative comments by a well-known short-seller.

Network Solutions' stock has been highly volatile in recent weeks as investors try to sort out the value of the company's registration business which has grown phenomenally but is expected to face competition for the first time within the next two years.

Shares of Network Solutions closed at $101.0625 on Thursday, down $8.9375 in trading on the Nasdaq.

The Herndon, Va., company has registered more than four million Internet domain names, like Reuters.com, under an exclusive government agreement that is being phased out.

Most analysts believe the company's experience and customer base will give it a leg up on new competitors.

But in a report issued Thursday morning, Asensio & Co. said Network Solutions ''will simply be one of hundreds of companies with identical registration services capabilities operating in a low price per unit, low barrier to entry, highly competitive, small...dollar value market.''

Network Solutions said Asensio's report contained ''numerous inaccuracies'' and denied it had failed to disclose any material negative information.

New York-based Asensio has prospered by selling short the stock of companies it believes are in trouble while publicizing its concerns. In a short sale, an investor borrows stock, sells the shares at the current price and hopes to cover the loan by buying back the shares in the future at a lower price.

Other analysts were far less pessimistic about Network Solutions.

Bill Whyman, an analyst based in Washington with the Legg Mason Precursor Group, said that while Asensio's report made some valid points, Network Solutions was probably well positioned to compete.

''Network solutions will lose some market share and pricing will come down,'' Whyman said. ''But I think they've overdramatized the negative. Even as (Network Solutions) loses share, the number of domain names registered is growing exponentially.''

The market is growing so fast that Network Solutions could keep growing, in part by selling Internet users a variety of services related to domain name registration, he added.

Network Solutions also faced complaints this week that it improperly combined a Web site used to look up information about who had registered Internet names with its own site that charges $70 for registering new names.

The company always ran both sites, but the informational site was located at www.internic.net while the sales site was at www.networksolutions.com.

Much of Thursday's trading activity appeared to come from small investors as less than 123,000 shares of the more tha 5.6 million shares traded changed hands in large blocks typical of institutional investors.

After accounting for a two-for-one stock split that took affect Thursday, the shares were down $52.6875 from an all-time high hit on Monday.

Thursday's decline came as the overall stock market rose, including most Internet stocks.

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To: Internet Jones who wrote (617)3/25/1999 10:50:00 PM
From: Buster O. Hype  Respond to of 1377
 
OLD TRADERS RULE:
When you are shouting, you should be selling
When you are crying, you should be buying

When NSOL dropped like a rock Monday, everybody was cursing ... logical move was to sell. But some brave souls held on and now they're crying. Now is the time to buy.

NSOL is in an unenviable position. It's market is as huge as the ISP market. When ISP's started sprouting about, investors said they'll kill each other. Now we have just a few big dominant players. Being the first and biggest is a must have in the internet wars. Amazon for example had a couple of years head start. But you don't see Amazon dropping like a rock whenever a new etailer shows its face.

10 billion potential domain names. And somebody has to control it. The government knows this. Registration used to be free but factors like potential litigation made the government decide the private sector should do this. They underestimated the growth of the internet and to prevent NSOL from being out of reach as a monopoly, they created ICANN. But the game is pretty much over. NSOL is the designated master and there can be only one, otherwise there will be chaos in the universe.

10 billion potential names. If each is worth $5 per year, that's $50 billion to NSOL. Of course, fees will go down but there is a certain price point where it doesn't pay to switch to another registrar. If you have to pay a clerk $20 per hour just to do all the related paperwork, might as well give NSOL its $20 per year.

What will happen though in the future is ISP's will integrate free Web registration as part of their service. Of course, they wouldn't even want to get involve in the internals of this, so they'll just pass NSOL a couple of bucks for each member that registers and let NSOL handle all these. The internet rewards efficiency and efficient ISP's know when they have to lay off. Too many cooks spoil the broth.

NSOL, once it achieves critical mass (a few more quarters) will pretty much dictate the orderly decrease in prices.