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Technology Stocks : AUTOHOME, Inc -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: E. Graphs who wrote (6864)	3/26/1999 7:56:00 PM
From: Chia-Bin Wang	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 29970

ATHM --- 5 Years from Now? [1] If the "hype" continues, $45,000 [2] If it capture only 20% of market, $1,200. ======================================================= [1] AOL --- split 6 times last 5 years (64x share #) 5 year performance 111x Cap Size = 117 B (as march 25,99) ATHM --- not yet split 20 months (=5/3 years) performance 6.7x (extrapolation = 6.76.76.7 = 300x Cap Size = 18.75B (as march 25'99) x 300 = 550B (=5/4 MSFT now) which equal $45,000 a share ======================================================= EPS Growth for the next 5 years from Yahoo Research ATHM 57% (why this low <good change to beat the estimation>? I thought last year we had 600%, this year looks like 400%) AOL 50% ======================================================= [2] If the internet community 3x in 5 years (to 150M+ people online) can ATHM take 20% of them? (30M) If it will, then it should worth about the same Cap size as AOL today, that will give ATHM @ $1,200. ======================================================= If AOL is no hype, why is ATHM? Comment?