To: Sig who wrote (112534 ) 3/26/1999 12:27:00 AM From: TechMkt Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 176387
The last half of this article is all about DELL. Read on and be bullish. Fez ____________________Sub-$1,000 PCs stifle DVD growth By Stephanie Miles Staff Writer, CNET News.com March 25, 1999, 5:10 p.m. PT DVD drives have become a silent victim of the sub-$1,000 PC revolution, although the upcoming Sony PlayStation II and expected price declines could jump-start shipments. With sub-$1,000 computers consistently accounting for more than 40 percent of all PC sales over the last several months, and sub-$600 systems from companies like Packard Bell and Emachines coming on like gangbusters, PC makers are squeezing out pricey add-ons as they try to eke out a small profit. Accordingly, DVD (digital versatile disc) isn't growing as fast as once anticipated. DVD offers much more capacity--up to 8.5GB per side--than its predecessor, the 650MB CD-ROM. But the ability to fit data-intensive multimedia games and full-length feature films on one disc comes with a significant price increase, and DVD has arrived on the scene at a time when cost is king with PC buyers. As a result, industry observers believe that DVD will remain relegated to the high-end market. "It's up to the system manufacturers, and most of them would kill their own mother to save $20," said Jim Porter, editor of DiskTrend. "As long as the PC maker believes that only a small percentage of his market is going to want a DVD-ROM drive at this time, he's not going to include it except at the high end [of the product line]." Last year, between 4 and 5 million DVD drives were shipped in PCs or as standalone peripherals, according to Porter, about one-tenth the number of CD-ROM drives shipped. Two years ago, a different research study predicted some 10 million DVDs would ship in 1999. Although DVD is expected to catch up and then overtake CD-ROM in the next five years, several factors are stumping widespread adoption, including cost. Build-to-order PC companies like Gateway--the first PC company to include DVD as an option in its midrange models--and Dell are experiencing much stronger demand for multimedia peripherals in general, and DVD drives in particular. These companies tend to serve "power users," however, so their experience doesn't extrapolate easily to the industry as a whole. Consumers who build their systems to order are likely more techno-savvy than a typical sub-$1,000 PC buyer, and more likely to invest in DVD now to stave off obsolescence. Additionally, so-called direct sales companies worry less about inventory problems caused by unwanted options. The average price of Dell's computers is above $2,200, much higher than the rest of the PC market, according to a number of sources. It is a not a total surprise then, that Dell generally ships more DVD drives than the rest of the industry. The cost for PC makers to upgrade to DVD is around $50, and for consumers it's near $150, estimated Ted Pine, an analyst at InfoTech Research. "Build-to-order really changes everything," Pine said, "because as the PC manufacturer, you no longer have to forecast months and quarters ahead when buying inventory. The customer really decides what the PC is going to be configured with, so the customer is managing the inventory and the upgrade cycle." "The majority of our consumer systems are sold with DVD," said Brad Blietz, director of product marketing for Dimension, Dell's consumer PC line. Blietz chalked up the popularity of the still-obscure technology with Dell customers to two factors. "First would be that the cost premium to go from CD-ROM to DVD is not large," he said. "[Second], we've found that consumers have a budget when they're buying a PC, and if the ones they're looking at cost less than the budget, they'll upgrade the peripherals. The budget stays stable."