LG; I've been getting mixed signals for over a week so I re-did
some of my paper portfolios to catch the Feb 1st high,
These are weighted and priced as of Jan29th.
And only include stocks in the S&P500
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Scroll over to see the gain >>
It's not very bullish.
Symbol Last Trade Change Avg Vol Volume Shrs Value Value Change Gain Paid
^DJI Mar 26 9822.24 -14.15 -0.14% N/A N/A .0001 $0.98 -$0.00 -0.14% $0.05 +4.95% 9358.83
^OEX Mar 26 643.68 -3.85 -0.59% N/A N/A .0001 $0.06 -$0.00 -0.59% $0.00 +0.51% 640.44
^SPC Mar 26 1282.80 -7.19 -0.56% N/A N/A .0001 $0.13 -$0.00 -0.56% $0.00 +0.25% 1279.64
MSFT Mar 26 178 1/8 -1 13/16 -1.01% 16,389,318 23,671,900 24.9356 $4,441.65 -$45.20 -1.01% $77.92 +1.79% 175
GE Mar 26 107 13/16 -11/16 -0.63% 4,563,000 3,052,100 32.7683 $3,532.83 -$22.53 -0.63% $96.26 +2.80% 104.875
INTC Mar 26 116 11/16 -1 1/4 -1.06% 16,917,272 13,420,600 16.67 $1,945.18 -$20.84 -1.06% -$404.12 -17.20% 140.93
WMT Mar 26 91 9/16 -5/16 -0.34% 3,232,181 3,217,600 22.52 $2,061.99 -$7.04 -0.34% $125.27 +6.47% 86
CSCO Mar 26 105 3/16 -2 1/4 -2.09% 14,944,500 9,889,800 15.7904 $1,660.95 -$35.53 -2.09% -$100.66 -5.71% 111.5625
MRK Mar 26 80 3/8 -2 3/16 -2.65% 4,732,318 4,099,300 23.8212 $1,914.63 -$52.11 -2.65% $166.75 +9.54% 73.375
XON Mar 26 71 9/16 +1/8 +0.17% 3,876,727 2,538,200 24.3123 $1,739.85 $3.04 +0.17% $27.35 +1.60% 70.4375
IBM Mar 26 172 3/8 +1 1/16 +0.62% 4,989,090 4,133,200 9.3306 $1,608.36 $9.91 +0.62% -$101.47 -5.93% 183.25
PFE Mar 26 135 -2 3/4 -2.00% 2,770,727 2,408,800 12.9779 $1,752.02 -$35.69 -2.00% $82.73 +4.96% 128.625
T Mar 26 83 1/16 +1 3/16 +1.45% 8,244,818 7,997,000 18.0633 $1,500.38 $21.45 +1.45% -$138.86 -8.47% 90.75
KO Mar 26 65 5/16 -9/16 -0.85% 3,754,863 3,521,400 24.651 $1,610.02 -$13.87 -0.85% -$3.08 -0.19% 65.4375
LU Mar 26 102 1/16 +1/16 +0.06% 6,927,818 6,187,100 13.1498 $1,342.10 $0.82 +0.06% -$138.07 -9.33% 112.5625
WCOM Mar 26 89 7/8 -1 1/8 -1.24% 11,761,181 7,085,500 18.3342 $1,647.79 -$20.63 -1.24% $185.63 +12.70% 79.75
C Mar 26 63 3/8 +3/8 +0.60% 8,972,272 6,808,500 22.71 $1,439.25 $8.52 +0.60% $166.07 +13.04% 56.0625
17 symbols
Totals(USD):
$28,198.17-$209.68-0.74%$41.76+0.15%
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The above are the BIG Heavy hitters cap wise, and while smaller
caps can take the indexes up, if these go no where or fall any
more it's a bad sign. They are only up 0.15% since Jan 29th.
The below are not the biggest caps but some of the fastest runners
we had up to Jan29th , or so to say they lead the S&P500 up
at least untill then.
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Symbol Last Trade Change Avg Vol Volume Shrs Value Value Change Gain Paid
^SPX Mar 26 1282.80 -7.19 -0.56% N/A N/A .0001 $0.13 -$0.00 -0.56% $0.00 +0.25% 1279.64
SCH Mar 26 93 +2 1/2 +2.76% 2,075,818 2,657,800 4.0092 $372.86 $10.02 +2.76% $90.96 +32.27% 70.3125
MU Mar 26 47 1/8 -5/16 -0.66% 5,185,727 5,798,700 2.4765 $116.71 -$0.77 -0.66% -$76.77 -39.68% 78.125
SUNW Mar 26 116 1/2 -1 13/16 -1.53% 7,699,363 8,042,000 3.8058 $443.38 -$6.90 -1.53% $18.08 +4.25% 111.75
EMC Mar 26 122 7/8 -1 3/16 -0.96% 4,023,772 3,386,000 5.0184 $616.64 -$5.96 -0.96% $70.26 +12.86% 108.875
PVN Mar 26 107 11/16 +1/2 +0.47% 835,636 776,000 1.416 $152.49 $0.71 +0.47% $9.73 +6.82% 100.8125
AMAT Mar 26 57 13/16 -3 1/4 -5.32% 8,836,590 7,177,500 3.6955 $213.65 -$12.01 -5.32% -$19.86 -8.51% 63.1875
BAC Mar 26 69 7/8 0 0.00% 4,276,909 2,687,400 17.3065 $1,209.29 $0.00 0.00% $51.92 +4.49% 66.875
WFC Mar 26 36 7/16 -13/16 -2.18% 3,989,454 2,840,600 16.1715 $589.25 -$13.14 -2.18% $24.26 +4.29% 34.9375
DELL Mar 26 37 7/8 -1/4 -0.66% 45,160,088 25,308,400 25.4702 $964.68 -$6.37 -0.66% -$308.83 -24.25% 50
CPQ Mar 26 31 1/4 -1/4 -0.79% 16,537,272 11,522,600 17 $531.25 -$4.25 -0.79% -$278.29 -34.38% 47.62
AMP Mar 26 55 7/16 +11/16 +1.26% 965,318 2,053,200 2.1879 $121.29 $1.50 +1.26% $6.16 +5.35% 52.62
AMGN Mar 26 74 5/8 -5/8 -0.83% 4,202,681 3,037,800 5.92 $441.78 -$3.70 -0.83% $63.49 +16.78% 63.90
ATI Mar 26 89 1/4 +2 3/16 +2.51% 3,207,045 3,111,500 5.72 $510.51 $12.51 +2.51% -$41.83 -7.57% 96.5625
TCOMA Mar 9 66 7/16 0 0.00% 5,201,954 0 5.3796 $357.41 $0.00 0.00% -$11.42 -3.10% 68.56
15 symbols
Totals(USD):
$6,641.29-$28.35-0.43%-$402.13-5.71%
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When the recent leaders run out of steam the ice is getting thin,
these are down 5.71% from Jan29th
worse yet is ORCL KLAC COMS SGI & SEG, all of which were doing
good.
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Short term signals are mixed and I want to look outside the index
for other factors, such as the FED repos, and the 30yr yeald
for an indication, however if they don't give more support
stocks are looking poor. Even when the market made it's high
over 50% of the stocks in the S&P500 were below the price
they made last July ( 14% below.) the gains were mostly in the
Bigger caps, and the breath has not been good for a long
time. While the index is up some, if you tally the market cap
of all the stocks you find money has eased off the
table since Jan29th , more than the index shows.
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I don't feel bullish at all, but I think some short term factors
make shorting risky just yet.
Jim |
