mike wsj on Monday identifies more entries into mobile-phone market.
The cost of these phones should drop significantly along with margins.
Business and Finance - Asia
Taiwan Firms Hear a Calling In the Mobile-Phone Market
By RUSSELL FLANNERY Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
TAIPEI, Taiwan -- Local companies that rank as the world's third-biggest makers of computer equipment hope they'll soon connect with consumers in a new market: mobile phones.
The island's manufacturers are aiming to break into a rapidly expanding mobile-phone market that grew 51% to 162 million units globally in 1998, according to Dataquest Inc., a research unit of U.S.-based Gartner Group Inc. Sales will stay brisk because of falling prices, rapid changes in functions and technology, and rising demand for mobile communications, says Peter Richardson, principal analyst for mobile communications at Dataquest in London.
To be sure, Taiwan companies probably won't be much of a threat to the three industry leaders -- Nokia Corp. of Finland, Motorola Inc. of the U.S., and Telefon AB L.M. Ericsson of Sweden -- which last year controlled about 57% of the world's mobile-phone market. Yet the island's makers are part of a group of industry newcomers that "buck the trend in recent years of attrition" among mobile-phone suppliers with a low market share, Mr. Richardson says. "There's plenty of opportunity" for the smaller players these days because exploding growth in mobile-phone shipments makes it hard for even savvy multinationals to serve every market, he says.
Eager Newcomers
At least four Taiwan companies are looking to secure a toehold in the industry. Arima Corp., which last year supplied about US$1 billion of notebook computers to U.S.-based Compaq Computer Corp., said this month that it plans to invest in a new company this year that will produce mobile phones. GVC Corp., a maker of computer equipment that already had some small-scale mobile-phone shipments last year, said this month that it hopes to raise output to as many as 800,000 units in 1999.
And Acer Peripherals Inc., after about five years of limited production, plans to make about one million mobile phones this year, and double that in 2000, says a spokesman for the 35%-owned affiliate of computer maker Acer Inc. DGTEL Inc., which already makes wireless phones for AT&T Corp., said this month that it won an order to produce one million mobile phones for Motorola.
Taiwan has been mostly a no-show in the mobile-phone industry, in part because at one time the authorities didn't encourage the spread of wireless-communications technology on national-security grounds, says Yeh Yung-tai, a telecommunications industry analyst at the Market Intelligence Center, or MIC, an industry-backed research organization. The legacy of that policy is a shortage of local engineers familiar with key telecommunications technology, industry executives say.
Efforts to Diversify
Yet times have changed. Taiwan's high-tech manufacturers, favored by multinational computer companies for their ability to adapt new products quickly and their willingness to accept thin profit margins, are now looking to diversify into mobile phones as the personal computer business becomes more cutthroat than ever.
They have a reasonable chance to succeed because of their manufacturing expertise, the willingness of overseas companies to license low-end know-how as products upgrade quickly, and the overall sharp growth in demand for mobile phones in Asia, especially in China, analysts say. "This year may bring some real developments and be a starting point for Taiwan," says Mr. Yeh of MIC.
Companies most likely to make a mark this year include Acer Peripherals, because it can take advantage of the brand-name recognition built up by its affiliate Acer Inc. in the computer market, and because it's now been experimenting with mobile-phone technology for years, analysts say. Acer Peripherals projects that its mobile-phone sales this year may hit as much as 3 billion New Taiwan dollars (US$90.6 million), or roughly 10% of its total revenue, says company spokesman Eric Yu. He didn't say how much they would add to profit.
Other companies may focus more exclusively on the strategy that's paid off for the island in the computer business: contract manufacturing. GVC, which is already selling some phones in the region and is looking for contract orders from a bigger multinational, sees a chance that Taiwan may be able to work with global mobile-phone giants in the same way it works with multinational makers of notebook computers.
"There are similarities between this and notebook computers," a GVC spokesman says. "Taiwan's infrastructure is improving. More customers are asking us questions about making mobile phones. This trend won't change."
Support From Customers
For newcomers, some of the benefits of working as an offshore supplier are the possibility of obtaining technology and manufacturing support from customers. They don't have to spend much on brand promotion, long a Taiwan weakness.
"Anyone can come into the market with a product," says Dataquest's Mr. Richardson. Brand perception and product design are also key to winning mobile-phone sales, however, and "that's where the new players aren't very well positioned to compete," he says.
With growth in global mobile phones so rapid last year, Taiwan isn't alone in sizing up the telecommunications market. Suppliers of components such as printed circuit boards also are trying to become suppliers to big telecommunications multinationals or even Taiwan companies that are trying to break into the business, says John Brebeck, an analyst at Jardine Fleming Taiwan Securities.
"It's a market that the Taiwanese could get a lot more share of, and a market they will get more of," he says. |