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Strategies & Market Trends : Cents and Sensibility - Kimberly and Friends' Consortium -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: kathyh who wrote (551)3/29/1999 9:56:00 AM
From: Kimberly Lee  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 108040
 
thanks, kathyn. DGV very strong, just took some profit 15 3/4
took profit on the rest of ABTL 41 5/8 to 3/4



To: kathyh who wrote (551)3/29/1999 10:56:00 AM
From: Kimberly Lee  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 108040
 
MMPT breaking out, volume is still low yet, picked some up between 44 and 45
bought INEXD on good news, 2 1/4



To: kathyh who wrote (551)3/30/1999 9:15:00 AM
From: Kimberly Lee  Respond to of 108040
 
thanks, Kathy, I have come to the same conclusion as well
Today's Internet Report by Steve:

- internet.com's -
I N T E R N E T S T O C K R E P O R T
by Steve Harmon
isdex.com
"Where Wall Street Meets The Web"
________________________________Sponsors__________________________

This newsletter sponsored by Source Media.
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-Source Media, 1999
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e-Customers, What's A Wallet Worth?

For well over a year I've said eBay looked overvalued vs. its peers. While
being a fan of its huge growth the valuation always seemed ahead of
itself.
Well after crunching the numbers on the market value per e-customers the
data showed eBay registered customers at 308% of the average.

And if you think valuation is more art than science I've got some weird
science for you straight out of oingo boingo: CDNow customers trade at 7%
of the average value per e-customer according to my analysis. The average
e-customer for the top 7 e-tailers (Amazon, eBay, CDNow, Egghead.com,
uBid,
Onsale, Cyberian Outpost) on the Web trades at $2,750.

Only eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY) and Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) hum along at
premiums to the group.

Allocate some of the pop from brand value yet there's also underlying
hyper-growth. I would attribute that to Amazon's seemingly obvious goal
of trying to be a etail portal bar none. By adding video and gift sales,
and now calendaring to remind you to buy, buy, buy, it appears Amazon is
going for the fences with its swing. While many observers would speculate
that Amazon's competition lies in barnesandnoble.com I believe that
Amazon.com now may be close to bumping up against plain old portals and
eBay and vice versa. AOL and Yahoo, for example, pose the biggest threat
to Amazon.com's future I think more than any other entities. It's not
about books or music or videos, it's about customers across the board.
AOL's got 16 million of them.

eBay felt the heat from Amazon's latest move into auctions as its share
price dropped yesterday a few points, off 4%. Amazon is perhaps the only
firm that could knock EBAY shares down. Now more than ever eBay needs a
buy to boost its membership base, round out its offering as a
'complete'real-time retailer.

The larger trend occurring, however, looks like auctions becoming a
commodity, a preferred way of commerce in the interactive space. So any
firm moving into auctions may in fact be more like "sucked" into auctions
as e-customers demand the power to price their goods more efficiently than
random brain cell generated rigid pricing systems.

Classifieds are dead. 'One price fits all' pricing is dead. Priceline.com
(pending IPO) pioneered the name your price concept to some extent but
it's
really just a twist on the auction.

Onsale.com (NASDAQ:ONSL), arguably one of the first publicly-traded auction
pioneers, at $673 per customer/registered bidder trades at 24% of the
average e-customer; geektailer Egghead.com sits at 58% of average; similar
techcentric seller Cyberian Outpost (NASDAQ:COOL) also shows a discount
per
e-customer at 63% of average.

The litmus test for sustainable value in my opinion centers on how each
site is able to do several oxymoronic things at the same time: focus on
its
core customer while seeking to attract that same customer to buying more
items in different product areas that may not be as strongly stocked in
offerings.

Ultimately it's about the lifetime value of an e-customer. As that becomes
central to the equation I believe higher ticket sales will be necessary
for
any etail or auction effort to make up the loss in going for mass discount
and volume on the low end. it may boil down to the difference between
selling one car vs. 10,000 CDs or 5,000 books.

Shakeout and consolidation may have to happen to create the scale needed to
make the ka-ching sound across the product spectrum.