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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: donald sew who wrote (9418)	3/29/1999 6:52:00 PM
From: Ramsey Su	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 99985

To all wall street historians: I am wondering if we have been looking at the wrong indicators here. Does anyone have data showing fund flow into the market? Was there any time in history that we have so much funds coming into the market for so many years? It seems to me that as long as funds keep coming into the market, it is impossible for it to go down. Ramsey

To: donald sew who wrote (9418)	3/29/1999 7:12:00 PM
From: StockOperator	Respond to of 99985

Don, I already got my investor friends calling me taunting me with 10,000. All we really have is the experience that has gotten us to this point. The great thing about all the varied opinions on this thread is that they are all grounded in so many different experiences. You're point of view makes me take an even harder look at my own. Which when you think about it, should be beneficial for anyone reading this thread. What else can you ask for. SO

To: donald sew who wrote (9418)	3/29/1999 7:56:00 PM
From: Roebear	Respond to of 99985

donald, Thanks for the courage to go out on a limb and express your market interpretation beyond its normal short term indicators, in regards to your remarks: "On a more negative view, I strongly feel that the start of the bigger decline is right around the corner." Glad to know I am not the only one. Not that I am a bear, despite my handle (bear is only part of it). In fact I have been playing the market long, mostly on "safer" defensive stocks that lag the market a bit, allowing me time to bail if need be. Limits my returns, but I am up 20% in two weeks. Today I bailed on all but a little Newmont at the lows. I love Newmont in the 16's and lower, very reliable and I am a bit of a Au bug. My reasoning for going to cash: Mostly the A/D line. Perhaps it no longer applies in the "New Paradigm" but I doubt that. Instead I believe that the new class of investors, including a lot of Mutual Fund gurus, are basically mo mo oriented and will chase the returns wherever they be. This throws $$ at the current "Nifty Fifty" and to heck with the A/D line. But with window dressing nearly in for the month, the thinness of the fabric of this market will begin to show through. Furthermore, the very paradigms that have defined this market are changing. The extinction of the Cold War, the Peace Dividend, increasing openess in international trade and the expansion of natural resources it has brought, cheap energy and resources, the consequent focus of financial streams on instruments of debt and equity and away from commodities; these are all being threatened by current events. The market is shrugging off external threats while becoming more subsceptible to them. But, if I'm wrong, then, what the heck, I've got cash to invest in the latest go- go mo mo's <VBG>! Roebear