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To: Eric L who wrote (445)	3/31/1999 8:17:00 AM
From: John Curtis	Respond to of 531

There's a really simple reason as to why cellular hasn't taken here the way it has in Europe and elsewhere. The local network buildout(from a LEC/CLEC perspective) was nowhere near as complete as here in the U.S. The good 'ol U.S.of A. has had upwards of 80 years to build out a huge infrastructure(formerly known as "Ma Bell"). Hell, up until ~8 years ago think of the political reality of Europe. Certainly there wasn't the "Ma Bell" like opportunity either there or in Asia, politics wouldn't allow it. Soooo, with recent years political "adjustments"(heh), those areas have now done a technological "leap-frog" over the U.S.. Why bother with a hugh infrastructure build-out when you can "plop" cell sites down and be up and running with a modern telecom system as fast as a bunny, eh? So it goes.....it's the classic economic story of an embedded base always hampering the adoption of newer modalities so the newer modalities go where resistance is less and acceptance can readily occur. But, with computational devices becoming more, and more portable(not to mention the citizenry--or read here, workers), and with that device portability they also are becoming more powerful.....well.....I think wireless will definitely have its place in the sun here in the U.S.. But I'm sure that sun won't become firmly established without some shake-out along the way. Right now it's a race to build out as much infrastructure as possible, after which market consolidation can be expected to occur. I've seen this same scenario unfold with the CLEC community(remember MFS Intelenet anybody?), and expect to see this same thing occur in wireless as well. 'Tis only logical, imho. John~