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Technology Stocks : Streaming Media Companies -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: timers who wrote (5)4/1/1999 3:14:00 PM
From: Brian D. Potts  Respond to of 46
 
Tabler - If your interested

Here is some more information from a long time poster on the AXC thread (His name is Hal. It's a very good summary of the company past and potential future

AMPEX (AXC)

HISTORY
Oldest Silicon Valley company still left standing. Storied (too long a story) and turbulent
history.
THE LAST TWO YEARS- PRICE DECLINE TO BELOW A DOLLAR
Hit on three fronts. Failed to sell keepered media to the hard drive industry. Ended the
development program. Lost an important patent infringement against Mitsubishi (actually
won trial but judge overturned and AXC lost appeal). Recently settled with Mitsubishi for an
unspecified lump sum on 2 other patent disputes. DCR sales plummeted primarily due to a
curtailing of government spending. Thus falling revenues.
That -added to index fund and tax loss selling - spawned a decline in share price to a low 69
cents per share in the fall.

CORE PRODUCTS

Royalty Stream
About 10 million per year. Ongoing stream ( as opposed to one time settlements) grew by
26% last year. Over a thousand active patents in digITAL processing and many other areas.
Still receive royalties related to Ampex's invention of the helical scan head. Sony, for
instance, licenses a bundle of their patents for use in a variety of products from 8 millimeter
camcorders to feedback joysticks.
19mm tape drives and libraries.

DSTs.
+ Finest commercially available in the world for storage of mammoth amounts of data.
Cheapest by the gig ...fastest...far and away the most space efficient. And the best most
particularly for visual storage. I am not exaggerating in the least.
- Very expensive in up front costs. And up to now a limited number of prestigious customers
have both needed and been able to afford their systems. The market for terabyte storage on
several fronts seems to be growing rapidly - and they have the product to best meet that new
demand...but a selling job looms. Price cuts of these very high margin ( 45% and up)
products a likely part of new attempt to gain market share.

DCR and DIS Instrumentation Recorders
+Also excellent. Prestigious customers. For flight testing and collecting satellite data. Very
high margin ( over 50%)
- DCR sales highly dependent on large government contracts. Sales fell precipitously in the
last 18 months with budget cuts on defense spending. Classified , so export restricted.

PRESENT STRATEGY
Both growth of core products and growth by acquisition....with the intent of primarily being
involved as a holding company in video delivery on the internet. In storage. In production. In
content and delivery. Added 44 million in cash, borrowed at 12%, to their own cash balance
a little over a year ago.Four acquisitions in that time.
MICRONET - Raid and Datadock storage products primarily aimed at the SAN markets. Got
the troubled company for a few million shares and a few million in cash. Revamping its
product line entirely. Little revenues now( 5 million). Potential explosive growth.

TVONTHEWEB - bought a 20% ownership stake ( with a 3 year option for a 51% stake) in
this rapidly growing DC area startup which narrowcasts to special interest groups -
underwriters pay costs and share revenues. Includes Grady Mgrath production company that
had 4 million in revenues last year. Adding new channels by the week. Tight federal
government connections.Potential IPO.

AENTV Bought 20% stake..again with majority option ..in private west coast video delivery
company company. recently voted by magazine as one of ten best video sites on the web.
Also potential IPO.

REITERS Purchased 51 % stake in this web hosting company.
If they exercise the majority option on TVon web and AENTV ..the total price paid for the last
3 acquisitions will be 12.7 million.

Also is opening production facilities, in Hollywood and NY city,which will be used by these
companies and others. Intend to produce content. Hired a seasoned advertising exec to re
establish the Ampex brand name ( sill revered in many circles) in these efforts. Hired Imagio
to help publicize their storage products.

Addenda
Manufacturing had a net negative cash flow last year. Due to intense cost control and high
margin products their break even point is extremely low ...but they fell below it.
If they achieve sales growth, the return of profitability is likely to be rapid. High...very
high...degree of insider ownership. Also Credit Suisse took a position in excess of 5%
recently. FMR has had a 55 position for quite awhile.

Potentials
Sales growth in core products due to increasing markets for massive storage and the
makeover to digital broadcasting. Potential IPOs of majority stakes in the web host and two
net TV companies.( Broadcast.com's capitalization recently was price to sales of 139-1) .In
addition, the production and content business they are entering ( and are well equipped to
do so) has very high margins. More acquisitions if the balance sheet justifies the attempt.
Growth in royalty stream.

Risks
Negative cash flow seems the main 3 year risk. Profits will vanish for awhile with their new
investments , but probably not to a drastic degree. If they exercise their majority options ,
they will still have about 44 million in cash equivalents as a safety net + whatever millions
Mitsubishi will pay on the infringement settlement. So no icebergs on the immediate horizon
and, in my opinion, many potentials.

Links:
ampex.com
aentv.com
tvontheweb.com

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