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Technology Stocks : Advanced Radio Telecom (ARTT) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DavesM who wrote (570)4/2/1999 6:32:00 PM
From: Bernard Levy  Respond to of 1176
 
Hi DavesM:

The FCC petition filed by Motorola does not concern the spectrum
currently used by WCII and ARTT. It regards the upcoming
auction of the frequency band extending from 38.6Ghz to
40.2GHz. The current FCC plan is to sell the spectrum disaggregated
in the form of 16 licenses of 100MHz each. Steve Bowen
posted in detail on this topic a few months ago (where did
he disappear by the way?). The spectrum can be used for P-P and
P-MP applications. I believe some PCS operators may want to
use some licenses for backhaul of PCS traffic (cheaper than
laying fiber).

The WCII 10-K suggests that it will participate in the forthcoming
auction. If the satellite companies insist on using this
spectrum, transmission's suggestion that a long delay
might occur would certainly come true.

With respect to GV Tucker's comment that it would be very difficult
to gain a license in each BTA at the upcoming FCC auctions, I
believe actually that a national operator would have to be totally
clueless not to be able to gain one or 2 licenses per BTA
on a nationwide basis. After the first few licenses go, I would
not be surprised if a lot of spectrum does not find any bidder.

George Gilder made the point about 2 years ago that spectrum is
actually not scarce, but plentiful. The perception of scarcity
is based on low frequencies. However, at mm frequencies, there
is really a wide tract of spectrum (up to the H2O absorption
band at 61GHz) which is really lightly used (the example that
comes to mind is the allocation of a band at 48GHz for
Alexander Haig and his blimps).

What counts when evaluating BBFW companies is not the
spectrum, but the business model and stage of its
execution.

Best regards,

Bernard Levy