SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Broadcast.com (Acquired by Yahoo) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: B. A. Marlow who wrote (1130)4/2/1999 1:09:00 PM
From: Randy Ellingson  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 1260
 
One thing's for sure: YHOO's building an empire, and GCTY/BCST are just the beginning. Consider YHOO's market cap in $35B range vs. AOL's in $140B range. That's a 4:1 size difference and a gap YHOO wants to close. YHOO obviously intends to remain "open," an advantage over the bulk of AOL.

Good point about the "open" strategy of Yahoo.

You can add (as an exercise until the deals close) another $8B to YHOO's market cap thanks to GCTY and BCST, bringing YHOO up to $44B market cap. It's still a factor of three. I suspect we'll see YHOO/AOL at 0.5 by the end of the year or perhaps next spring. Another two years after that, YHOO may surpass AOL's market cap.

Randy



To: B. A. Marlow who wrote (1130)4/2/1999 8:19:00 PM
From: George Martin  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1260
 
Hi, BAM -

Thanks for your response and additional comments. Will definitely check out AXC and appreciate your taking the time to let us all know about it on this thread.

Enjoy your humor and incisive, on the mark comments as usual.

How's this for the final wrap-up for the FIRST DAY conversion value of the YHOO / BCST deal:

YHOO closing price: $179 3/4 X .7722 = $138.80 !!!!

Of course with the "market discount" BCST was at 130 but nonetheless the attributed value of $138 is there.

As you pointed out in your commentaries on buyout valuations, this was the "value" calculated by Steve Harmon and one which he arrived at by ascribing a per user value of 1/2 of that YHOO itself.

Good commentary by you and a good call by Steve Harmon. I may post on his thread if no one else has to give him some kudos for a good call.

Thanks again and good luck --

George Martin

** OT ** PS. FWIW, my own total play for broadband encompasses all levels from chips, fiberoptics, pipes to content:

BRCM, PMCS, UNPH, VTSS, GBLX, QWEST, MFNX, ATHM, BCST, RNWK.

A dated but very good read on this topic -- shift from desktop power
paradigm to broadband -- was a Barron's article last fall (Oct. I believe) with 3 analysts including Landis and McNamee. If any one wants it, be glad to track down specific issue.