To: lml who wrote (10311 ) 4/5/1999 5:20:00 PM From: paul Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 19080
"ORCL, is a company that has proven in the past its ability to see new trends & alter the direction, strategy of its business. Of course, when this takes place one is going to see some falloff in historical growth. But to conclude that its best days are over is unsupported by the nature of high technology & the track record of the company -- over the longer term." Ive been a fan of Oracle's for a long time but think that its record in adopting and being succesful in new technology areas is unsatisfactory at best. Relational database technology is now 25 years old and Oracle still goes to bat with the same old story except they now append the letter i after Oracle8. Don't get me wrong Oracle is the 900 pound gorilla in its field but going into Y2k and beyond with the same product portfolio and strategy is troubling. Now exactly how robust the market is for database technology is a good question and Oracle has a huge customer base it can mine for years to come - however it has missed the applications boom in which it will forever be trying to play catch up, as well as fast growing areas such as SFA, Front office, Application Server, Groupware, desktop (Network computer), productivity - Oracle has had products in each of these areas so it isnt for lack of trying - but theyve all been duds. Part of this problem is that its been so succesful selling one thing - databases and its hard to wean the sales force from it, that was a big problem when SAP started coming up in the early and mid 90's and its still a big problem now. I think Oracle is a good investment as a database company but for it to sport a higher multiple its got to get into some other growth areas it just doesnt have. If you live in SV i think you can see that in the way people feel about Oracle. Years ago every hotshot wanted to work there - now at best theirs an indifference if not hostility due to the fact that Oracle has never been known as a very pleasant place to work.