To: Morgan Drake who wrote (989 ) 4/3/1999 9:32:00 PM From: Mr. Sunshine Respond to of 54805
Great Thread! I came here from a link at the Q thread, and have read several weeks worth of posts. I have been in QCOM for 3 frustrating years, but the patience is now paying off. If anyone is still on the fence, let me reemphasize what an earlier poster said -- go to the QCOM thread and read the Gregg Powers posts. He gives a great analysis of the fundamentals and the potential of this company. As a potential undiscovered King, has anyone looked at Cymer (CYMI)? They are in the semiconductor equipment sector and control 80% of the market for the lasers that enable Deep Ultra Violet (DUV) lithography, an enabling technology for the future size reduction of semiconductors, a key factor in enforcing Moore's law. As background, mercury lamps have been used in the steppers used to etch lines in semiconductor chips. This has worked fine until recently, when those lines have gotten below 0.25 um. For technical reasons (something to do with the wavelength of light and the laws of physics) mercury lamps will not work below that level. Enter Cymer's eximer lasers, which will allow those lines to get much smaller. Cymers share price got ahead of itself after the IPO, and then crashed when semiconductors dived last year. The shares have recovered some, but have a long way to go IMHO. There is competition (thus calling Cymer a King and not a Gorilla) but they are one to two years behind Cymer. Qualcomm's latest ASICS and Intel's Pentium III are made at 0.18 um using steppers that use Cymer eximer lasers. Cymer management claims to have most of the eximer laser scientists in the world, including many from the former Soviet Union. I got out of this stock last year, but am now back in, and am hoping to add to my position on price dips. I would not sell my QCOM to buy CYMI, but do expect it to double within the next year. Great Investing to all, Steve