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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LLCF who wrote (128)4/5/1999 9:32:00 PM
From: BRAVEHEART  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52153
 
Hi David,

How should I interpret the Burn Column? What does the % indicate...

Thanks
Jeffrey



To: LLCF who wrote (128)4/6/1999 12:10:00 PM
From: Biomaven  Respond to of 52153
 
David,

Your posts aren't "glocking up the thread" in the slightest - they are definitely value-adding.

One problem, as you point out, is how to account for one-time payments. Another is the whole problem of partnering - there's a big difference between companies that have already sold their shoes, soles and souls and those that haven't (yet).

Some interesting statistics I saw for first quarter performance, taken from BioCentury:

Market Cap 1Q99 chg 1998 chg

>$1B +12% +79%
$501 - $1B -4% +3%
$401- $500M -8% +16%
$301 - $400M -24% -13%
$100 - $200M -13% -13%
<$100m +8% -40%

So we actually saw some recovery at the very bottom of the barrel, after a miserable 1998. However, the divergence between the very top and everyone else continues.

Some strength recently in two of my quality third tier holdings - OSIP and NPSP, both on no news that I saw.

Peter



To: LLCF who wrote (128)4/6/1999 1:27:00 PM
From: JOEBT1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52153
 
David--LGND had 72.5M in cash on 12/31/98. Also since they will be selling Ontak and Panretin Gel for 9 months in '99 they should have at least 10 to 30 M in revenue from sales plus milestone revenue of 17 M as in '98. Table is useful if we can keep updating the data.