To: Mark[ox5] who wrote (744 ) 3/19/2000 2:46:00 AM From: Mark[ox5] Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 779
Recent picks on fundamental basis and decent pullbacks over the past week Wireless: TQNT ($80s), ANAD ($70s, $80s) DSL/Cable/broadband: EFNT ($130s), NXTV ($160s) Infrastructure: AMCC ($230s and $210s) Will probably be buying TERN ($180s) Monday due to pullback Thurs/Fri; its approaching its 50 day MA after a huge Gilder inspired run. Love the revenue growth & pre announcement. ARTG ($160s) looks interesting here as an alternative to my 2 favorites in the ecommerce software that have had huge runs and just seem so very pricy (VIGN, BVSN) Splits early this week and its revenue growth is also impressive. I like Conextant (CNXT) at these levels but until it pulls out of its tailspin I wont commit dinero. ($80s) Currently sitting in FFIV at a small loss, great fundamentals, ignored by market. Maybe an earnings run will pull it out of its tailspin. ($90s) Investigating SGNT as a MSTR sympathy play with great revenue growth. (low $40s) Overall view for NASDAQ: Still at very high levels, no "panic" last week, just margin calls... probably need a few good days to establish an uptrend, otherwise maybe some weakness in NASDAQ. April should lead to a bounce during earnings season, and the mania should be in full swing by late April, and then I don't know. Common sense would indicate summer is usually slow for tech and we'd have a pullback as inflows in the market slowed down. But once again this market is not about common sense unfortunately, just momentum. Basically we are in a very basic supply/demand equation in the tech market. X amount of supply of stock in the top 100 names, and insatiable demand from individuals pouring $$$s into tech mutual funds. Even with pullback I find almost everything "extended" per any reasonable valuation method. Great quote a few weeks ago from Chip Morris, fund manager of T Rowe Price Science & Tech fund... something akin to : If he woke up today after falling asleep 2 years ago and looked over his portfolio he would sell every issue based on valuation. I am in the same boat! As much as I love PMCS I can't justify adding more here... yes it will probably run with earnings and a split announcement, etc.. I might play some, but any new "long term hold" buys? No. The time to buy was 4 months ago. Good luck if anyone reads this! :) Mark