To: Jock Hutchinson who wrote (17750 ) 4/6/1999 8:36:00 PM From: sea_biscuit Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25814
You truly need to learn that being an outstanding long-term investor requires a person to be able to sit through the poor years in order to benefit from the great years, such as this one, [...] But, I have sat through the poor years -- 96, 97 and (ouch!) 98. During those times, I sold into the rallies only to reduce my average cost per share. That was a defensive gesture that helped me sleep a lot better than some of the rest of us here! <G> I regard a company as a long-term investment ONLY IF it has the capability to increase its dividends year after year after year. (I go a little easy on the earnings, because companies can and do have "off" years). There are 350 of them that have done it for at least 10 consecutive years, at last count. A stock that yields a paltry 1.5% now will be yielding 24% on cost 20 years from now, if the company can double its dividend every 5 years. Again, of the 350 that I mentioned above, there are many that have done precisely that and many of them are quite likely to do so in the future. Now, that is long-term investing! Yes, I am as much concerned about the return of my investment as about the return on my investment. You can see that in my "sell 60% when the stock doubles" approach -- something that I always advocate in the case of companies with highly erratic earnings, e.g. LSI :-) [...]when it is very likely that LSI will triple in price year over year. Well, it already has! That is why I have taken some more off the table. And who knows if it will triple over the next year or get cut in half (hey! this is the stock market!) but if it does triple, I will be selling all along the way, without any regrets whatsoever.