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Non-Tech : Tulipomania Blowoff Contest: Why and When will it end? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: The Duke of URLĀ© who wrote (1241)4/8/1999 6:00:00 PM
From: Stephen O  Respond to of 3543
 
If he did say it, is it bad for thread because we are about to collapse and there will be no more interest or is it because you think the market of internuts is now really respectable and will keep going up for the foreseeable future?



To: The Duke of URLĀ© who wrote (1241)4/8/1999 6:22:00 PM
From: ScrapCollector  Respond to of 3543
 
AOL is in the enviable position of being the market leader right now. They weren't formed overnight like AMZN. They are in a position to sign up the rest of the masses from now on. Until now, people who have signed up with ISPs were discriminate shoppers. However, features per price will be less important than convenience and "brand name" to the next wave of Internet newbies.

Is there anyone on the horizon who can threaten AOL's market share right now?

YHOO is trying to provide more content with its pending acquisition of BCST, which means YHOO is wisely focusing on its core business as a portal. AMZN, on the other hand, is flailing wildly at EBAY. Its core business is being attacked from all sides, from Barnes & Noble and now Seagram/UMB/BMG merger.

Oh yeah, BMG is a unit of Bertelsmann AG. Sounds familiar? Do I smell bad blood? :-)

Even if AOL is a strong investment, it's still susceptible to market panic. I made a prediction earlier that AMZN, the company with the weakest fundamentals will lead a correction. AOL, YHOO, and even CMGI might bounce back. AMZN, though, might get orphaned by Wall Street. I'm just hoping the correction will take 4-5 days so that I get some or all of the prize money :-) :-)