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To: Robert McCullough who wrote (1093)4/9/1999 10:50:00 AM
From: kingfisher  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1207
 




N.Y. Crude Rises as '99 Demand Seen Exceeding Supply, Ending Global Glut
Crude Oil Rises After IEA Reports '99 Demand to Exceed Supply

New York, April 9 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose 2 percent,
its first gain in four days, after a forecast that global
production will fall short of demand this year, raising
expectations that a worldwide glut will end.

World demand this year will rise 1.2 percent from 1998 while
production should slip, provided oil exporters trim output as
much as they pledged last month, the International Energy Agency
said in a monthly report. High inventories helped send crude oil
prices to a 12-year low in December.
''When we see those inventories shrink, we're going to need
that oil,'' said Bill O'Grady, vice president, director of
fundamental futures research, at A.G. Edwards & Sons in St.
Louis, Missouri.

Crude oil for May delivery rose as much as 32 cents to
$16.15 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. In London,
May Brent rose 29 cents, or 2 percent, to $14.50 a barrel on the
International Petroleum Exchange. Prices are up about 3 percent
from a year ago.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and other
nations will start cutting output this month in a plan designed
to reduce world supply by 2.7 percent.

O'Grady said the consensus opinion among analysts is that
the IEA is right in its forecast.
''If the production cuts are made and the economies of some
of these countries improve, inventories will drop,'' he said.
''You just can't keep this market down.''



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© Copyright 1999, Bloomberg L.P. All Rights Reserved.




To: Robert McCullough who wrote (1093)4/20/1999 11:55:00 AM
From: kingfisher  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1207
 
Great article on oil economics

Message 8990687