Doomberg's article talks about Venezuela's deputy minister's foot in mouth act: Energy News Thu, 8 Apr 1999, 8:03pm EDT
N.Y. Crude Falls to 2-Week Low as Producers Seen Taking Time to Make Cuts Crude Oil Falls to 2-week Low as Cuts to Take Time (Update1) (Updates with final prices.)
New York, April 8 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil fell to a two- week low amid expectations that it will be some time before output cuts pledged by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and other producers can be confirmed.
Oil prices have fallen for three days, dropping 6.6 percent from a 14-month high Monday, as traders await signs producers are honoring promises to cut world supply by another 2.7 percent, beginning this month. A Venezuelan energy official's comment that it will take a while for the country to meet its new production target raised concern that all the cuts may not be made. ''They said it might take a long time to implement the cuts and people say, 'See, look here, they're fudging,''' said Michael Fitzpatrick, a trader at Fimat USA Inc. in New York.
Crude oil for May delivery fell 20 cents, or 1.2 percent, to $15.83 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the lowest closing price since March 25. Still, prices are almost 2 percent higher than a year ago and up 53 percent from the 12-year low in December.
In London, May Brent crude fell 14 cents to $14.21 a barrel on the International Petroleum Exchange.
Venezuela, OPEC's third-largest producer, said last month it was producing at the target rate of 2.845 million barrels a day adopted as part of an output reduction campaign last year.
Alvaro Silva Calderon, Venezuela's deputy energy and mines minister, said Tuesday the country had begun to fulfill its promise to cut production by another 125,000 barrels a day as part of a global effort to boost prices that sank to a 12-year low in December. Still, ''this process will take time,'' he said.
Venezuelan compliance is regarded as crucial to the success of the new round of cuts, because if the country fails to honor its pledge, other producers, particularly Saudi Arabia, would be under pressure to export more oil to preserve market share in the U.S. Venezuela, Saudi Arabia and Mexico are the top oil suppliers to the U.S. 'Walking a Tightrope'
Venezuela's energy and mines Minister, Ali Rodriguez, said the pledged cuts ''were a commitment and we are observing it.''
Venezuelan progress in making the promised reduction is under scrutiny, because the country's new president, Hugo Chavez, is under pressure from oil workers who want to keep their jobs. ''Chavez was the people's choice, but he didn't campaign on lowering oil production,'' said Rich Redash, an energy futures analyst at Prudential Securities in New York. ''He's walking a tightrope.''
Gasoline futures also fell for a third day, dropping 2 percent, as a supply shortage on the West Coast eased.
Gasoline prices have dropped 8.5 percent since reaching an 11-month high on March 31 as refiners on the U.S. Gulf Coast boosted production to make supplies available to West Coast markets. Four refineries on the West Coast had outages during the past six weeks, dropping production in the region to its lowest level in more than three years.
May gasoline fell 0.99 cent to 49.52 cents a gallon on the Nymex. May heating oil fell 0.43 cent, or 1 percent, to 40.84 cents a gallon.
Worst Over?
Gasoline production in California and the other states west of the Rocky Mountains dropped to 1.072 million barrels a day last week, down 23 percent from a year ago, according to the American Petroleum Institute.
Tosco Corp.'s Avon refinery in Martinez, California, is still out of service, and production at Chevron Corp.'s Richmond refinery has been reduced by damage to a unit.
Other refinery problems have been fixed, restoring some lost supply. And gasoline destined for other markets is being to diverted to California, the country's biggest gasoline-consuming state, to take advantage of pump prices that are the highest in almost three years. ''I pulled up to a pump the other day, and it was $1.75 a gallon for premium,'' said Steve Weitz, a broker at Bel Air Capital, a commodity and equity trading company in Century City, California. ''I have to think that gasoline is going much higher.''
Others, including the U.S. Department of Energy, say the worst may be over for the supply squeeze. Retail gasoline prices nationwide should peak next month at $1.18 a gallon for regular and average $1.13 during the summer, the department said yesterday. ''The situation is not totally removed, but over the last couple of days it's gotten better as some units go back on line,'' Redash said.
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