ATI Technologies Dazzles Personal Computer Gamers, Investors
Bloomberg News April 8, 1999, 12:06 p.m. PT
ATI Technologies Dazzles Personal Computer Gamers, Investors
Thornhill, Ontario, April 8 (Bloomberg) -- Todd Kelly doesn't play games with his money. That's why he took a hard look before investing in Canada's ATI Technologies Inc., the No. 1 maker of 3D graphics cards for personal computers.
Kelly, 29, has seen his 50 shares bought about 13 months ago quadruple to 200 after a 4-for-1 stock split last April. Better still, those shares have doubled in value since purchased.
ATI has captured 30 percent of a rough-and-tumble PC graphics market, where the number of manufacturers has dwindled to about nine from almost 30 four years ago. The company is prospering so far, analysts say, by keeping up with fast-changing technology and counting big PC makers like Dell Computer Corp. and Gateway 2000 Inc. among its customers.
''I'm not a high risk taker. But because I'm young, I need to expose myself to some risk and ATI is just exploding from growth,'' said Kelly, an assistant brand manager for Unilever NV in Toronto.
ATI said today that its fiscal second-quarter profit from operations rose 45 percent to US$39 million, or 18 cents a share, topping expectations for 16 cents from First Call Corp. A year earlier, net income was US$27 million, or 13 cents, adjusted for the stock split.
Sales for the period ended Feb. 28 climbed 63 percent to US$297.2 million from US$182 million. ATI shares slipped C$0.70 to C$24.30 in midafternoon trading.
Graphic Images
Graphics cards and chips help software programs from spreadsheets to games to razzle-dazzle Internet sites display moving images in two and three dimensions.
Kelly said that he was so taken with Thornhill, Ontario- based ATI after his research that he recommended to his mother that her investment club buy some shares.
''I don't think she knows what a graphics accelerator is, and she doesn't play computer games,'' Kelly said. ''She just looks at what her money is doing.''
If ATI has an Achilles heel, analysts say, it's that the company is closely tied to the vagaries of the PC market. That market was hammered earlier this year, after Dell Computer Corp. reported slowing sales growth and Compaq Computer Corp. warned about less-than-expected January sales to small businesses.
As a result, ATI fell about 29 percent from a record C$27.90 (US$18.63) on Jan. 29 to C$19.75 on March 4.
Still, the shares have gained about 39 percent for the year, giving ATI a market value about C$218 million and making it the fourth-best performer on the Standard & Poor's Toronto Stock Exchange Index.
During the same period, nearest competitor S3 Inc., which has about 20 percent of the market, gained 8.7 percent. Intel Corp., the world's largest chipmaker that has 9 percent of the PC graphics market, rose 11 percent. 3dfx Interactive Inc., which commands 5 percent, gained 29 percent.
Nvidia Corp., which went public in January at $12 a share, has performed better. It rose 1/8 to 21 1/8 in recent trading, for a gain of 76 percent.
''Soft PC sales will have a heavy impact on everyone, but because of ATI's size and scale of economies, they are better protected,'' said Andrew McCreath, portfolio manager for Toronto- based Synergy Asset Management Inc., which oversees $100 million in stock.
Biding Time
McCreath said his company sold some of its ATI shares in early February to take advantage of the soaring price.
''There were some rumblings back then about Dell and Compaq,'' McCreath said, referring to slower sales growth. ''But ATI is a good, solid, long-term growth stock, and I'm biding my time on what we have left.''
Unlike most of its competitors, ATI designs the chips and the boards that plug into the PC's interior slots, and contracts with other companies to make the products.
It sells its boards to all of the top 15 PC makers, including Dell, Apple Computer Inc. and Hewlett-Packard Co. It also sells its products at PC stores to enthusiasts who want to update aging machines with the latest technology.
ATI has taken steps to protect itself against a trend in the industry, the move to put more and more functions on a single chip. Graphics, ATI's bread and butter, is a logical choice for that integration, and that could gnaw into ATI profits.
That's why last year ATI bought Chromatic Research Inc. for US$70.9 million to gain so-called system-on-a-chip technology, said James Chwartacky, chief financial officer.
''Consumer electronic devices, sub-$500 PCs, all-purpose devices, system-on-a-chip, that's the future,'' he said. ''We are going to be there.''
Big Customers
The company also penetrated the set-top box market with an estimated $190 million supply agreement last year with General Instrument Corp. to supply graphics chips for 7.5 million devices during the next three to five years. The boxes are used by cable companies to expand cable channel offerings, Internet connections and telephone service.
''ATI is the only chip supplier that can boast of supply relationships with each of the top 15 PC (makers),'' said Ray Sharma, a Credit Suisse First Boston Corp. analyst, who rates ATI a ''buy.'' This ''provides greater financial stability to the company.''
ATI proves that to be an emerging tech giant, it's not necessary to be located in California's Silicon Valley, analysts say. The seven analysts who have issued ratings on the shares rate them from ''near-term buy'' to ''strong buy.''
Paul Litva at Toronto-based Dominion Securities Inc. just started covering ATI and rates it a ''buy.'' He said he never really paid attention to the company before.
''Then you say, 'Wow, this is a big company.' It will dominate the competition. There is lot of upside here,'' Litva said.
That's something that small investor Todd Kelly and his mother's investment club is sure to like, even if they aren't into playing games on their PCs or in their stock portfolios. |