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To: Kevin McKenzie who wrote (67553)4/9/1999 10:25:00 PM
From: Mr. Big  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 119973
 
National Discount Brokers (NDB) offers a quality online service -- including its innovative NDB University, which provides educational materials on personal finance and investing through an arrangement with Time Warner's (NYSE:TWX - news) Money.com. Piper Jaffray estimates that NDB's customer accounts grew by 32% in the December quarter -- twice the industry average.

The market is now valuing the company at $3,000 per customer account, or just 30% to 50% of what investors are paying per account for the top online brokers like Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCH - news) and E*Trade (Nasdaq:EGRP - news) . And that assumes the firm's market-making and specialist businesses are basically worthless. Of course, investors are willing to pay up for firms with the best-known brands and significant market share. Still, that's an enormous price disparity.

Not long ago, a single analyst was estimating the company would earn $0.85 a share in the year ending in May. But Q3 earnings released March 30 suggest that estimate could prove way low. Revenue roared ahead 81% to $68.2 million, pumping EPS from continuing operations up to $0.58 from just $0.14 last year. That brings year-to-date earnings to $0.90 per share.

Frenetic market activity continues to produce outsized profits. Trades per day by individual investors soared 61% from the same period a year ago while trades through its Sherwood Securities unit increased 74%.

As long as market activity stays so strong, National Discount Broker should remain on a roll. Then again, it could get hit much harder than the other online brokers in a market slowdown.

National Discount Brokers is an online brokerage with roughly 128,000 customer accounts and assets of $6.5 billion. Basic limit orders cost $19.75. Barron's recently rated NDB in a tie for #2 among 21 online brokers. Piper Jaffray figures NDB claimed 1.2% of all online accounts and 1.3% of trading volume as of December, placing it tenth among online brokers.

Sherwood is a wholesale market maker in about 3,600 Nasdaq and small-cap stocks. It executes transactions primarily for institutional investors.

The parent also owns a 47% membership interest in Equitrade Partners, a specialist in 157 New York Stock Exchange stocks. NDB plans to sell Equitrade.

As of September, insiders owned 8.1 million shares, or 56.2% of the company.

FINANCIAL FACTS

Income Statement*
12-month sales: $196.1 million
12-month income: $15.7 million
12-month EPS: $1.11
Profit Margin: 8.0%
Market Cap: $389.6 million
(*From continuing operations.)

Balance Sheet*
Cash: $0.8 million
Total Assets: $195.5 million
Total Liabilities: $69.3 million
Long-term Debt: None



To: Kevin McKenzie who wrote (67553)4/9/1999 10:43:00 PM
From: David Smith  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 119973
 
ESPI...possibly good short...

Went back and studied the prints after the close. Majority of the large blocks were sales, not buys, which confirms what I saw from watching the screen all day. Buys were in lots of 500 to 1000 shares, sellers 10k and over. Indicates smart money was selling. Look to short this stock at the open Monday, should be good for a few points on the downside guys.