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Pastimes : The Naked Truth - Big Kahuna a Myth -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: accountclosed who wrote (32310)	4/10/1999 12:04:00 PM
From: John Pitera	Respond to of 86076

I'm going to take a look at your posts. check out Eric Von Baranov's 12 predictions for 1999. Sure to be a Big hit in Kahuna Land now the bring up 1999 projections - thought you'd never ask so far I seem to be hitting on all twelve cylinders. Below are mine: 1999 Projections 1. U.S. Economy: The U.S. economy will grow at the fastest rate in 25 years. 1998 completes the low of a Jugular Cycle and the low of a Presidential Cycle. The combination of these cycles with the emerging Growth Period will push the economy strongly higher. 2. U.S. Stock Market: The S & P 500 will lead the market strongly higher in the first quarter. This move will come very quick and push the Dow Transports to new highs along with most other indexes. This will launch a capital goods boom that will keep the market at high levels for the balance of the year in a flat configuration. The majority of the gains will be in the first quarter. NO CRASH 3. Interest Rates: Interest rates have struck equilibrium and should remain in a tight range for the balance of the year after some strength in the first quarter. The FED will take no action for the entire year. Interest rate spreads will continue to narrow and volume in the market will dry up as surpluses at the Federal level grow. The Federal Government will report the highest surplus in history. 4. Commodity Prices: Oil, Gold and agricultural commodities will continue lower. Farm profits will be very very thin. The Federal Government will pass legislation to bail out many of the farmers - possibly buying and storing commodities as they did in the 1950's. 5. U.S. Dollar: The U.S. Dollar will remain strong relative to the Euro and give up ground against the Australian Dollar and possibly the Japanese Yen. Overall the U.S. Dollar will continue to be the reserve currency and remain stable. 6. Politics: Clinton will remain in office by very close margin, but the "McCarthy-Starr" inquisition will expand to a purge of the sexually active in Congress. This will be the start of a Senate Committee on Truthfulness and Purity. 7. War: Hostilities will continue to expand around the world. War will be the highest focus of the press. There will be great pressure on Congress to clear the Clinton matter to show solidarity against real U.S. enemies. The "War on Terrorism" will expand with Japan re-arming and a close alliance between the U.S. and Britain to fight Terrorism. 8. Real Estate: The demand for high end homes - especially in California - will continue with a 15-20% increase in prices by early spring. There will be reports that the shortage of labor will continue to keep supply short for years to come. The market will flatten out by fall as inventory comes on line. Prices will remain high to balance of the year. 9. Japan: The Nikkei has a 90% chance that it has finally found a bottom. 1999 should be a strong year for Japanese stocks about 30%. 10. Mexico: Improved economic conditions in the U.S. will push Mexican Stocks higher turning in one of the best world market performances of the year. 11. Russia: This is a flyer. A new liberal (that is in Capitalist) strong and popular leader will be elected in Russia. He will put in place much of the structure that will help the Russian economy expand over the next 20 years. 12. Aliens will land and fix the Y2K problem averting a major economic collapse. Eric Von Baranov The Kondratyev Wave Theory Letters www.kondratyev.com