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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DRBES who wrote (55087)4/10/1999 2:11:00 PM
From: nihil  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 1580670
 
An interesting, but I fear conventional point of view. Intel's internal reward structure keeps unrelenting pressure on everyone to produce and economize. I've heard few complaints from Intel employees that too little is demand of them. They sacked a bunch of low performing folks last year -- and there are always suits and complaints (see FACEINTEL) about age and race discrimination. There is a ruthlessness in Intel's personnel policies that does not tolerate complacency or repeated failure. This is what I call "hard participation." You are forced to take chances, and are cut little slack. But if you reach your goals, you are rewarded handsomely, and in fact a young engineer can become very rich in 10 years. People are mostly self-driven, and this doesn't work well for many people. There is an almost irresistable tendency to slack off when people take too much freedom. Intel reminds me much of UCBerkeley, which was the most demanding university I have ever seen. They want a lot, and they want it now. Not surprising, Andy Grove got his Ph.D. at Berkeley the same year I joined the faculty. A tough, demanding, meritocratic place. When businesses or university get too humane and understanding, their standards and competitiveness may drop. When business like this don't share rewards with the troops, the good people leave too fast. Of course, the good people leave everywhere anyway. They are just richer when they leave Intel. Since Intel makes most of the profits in the Semiconductor industry and shares them more or less equitably with the workers, the average incentive in Intel is 10 times as high as the average in the industry. This is closely linked, I believe, with the profits differential.
I will admit that in some egalitarian sense it is unfair that Intel has the cash, the incentives, the scale, and other advantages that AMD does not and will not have. All AMD has in this race is a single chip design K-7 which may be very good and could conceivably make them a lot of dough if they could produce it and if it was well positioned and well priced. I think they should price it very high but slightly below the nearest competitor, tempting Intel and Alpha to maintain high prices, yet providing for some growing sliver of the market for high-end chips. If they could make some cash profit and begin to reduce their debt, they might slowly improve their financial condition with a 20 per cent or so share of a profitable high-end market. If they try to buy their way in, they will be crushed. They may very well bring down Intel's profits, but they can never win. Intel is rich, loaded with cash, owes nothing, and can fight forever. If necessary, it can, like AMD, reprice its employee options.
My investments are about 30 times as great on Intel as on AMD. That's how I read the odds. It's not impossible for AMD to survive, but they've got to become much smarter and play a smarter game. The game is not "Sudden Death" but "Live and Let Live." better known as "Live Long and Prosper" or sometimes "He who goes along, gets along."