To: burner who wrote (205 ) 4/11/1999 12:57:00 PM From: burner Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 488
I picked this article up today in my e-mail. It suggests what we all know and why we are attracted to a company like COOL: >NEW VALUATION TECHNIQUE NEEDED >by Stockwatch Business Reporter >With Bid.Com hitting an intra-day high of $32.35 on April 8, at least one >analyst is shaking his head and wondering whether a new valuation technique >is needed when it comes to Internet stocks. Taurus Capital Markets analyst >Adam Adamou has been bearish on Bid.Com for some time but has decided to >steer clear of another recommendation. "Frankly, I don't know any more," >Mr. Adamou says. >In early December 1998, Mr. Adamou drew the ire of Bid.Com president Jeff >Lymburner for claiming that the stock was a game for fools and greater >fools, suggesting the company was overvalued, even compared to similar >Internet issues. At the time Mr. Adamou's comments appeared in the >Financial Post, the stock was trading at $4. On Feb. 10, with the stock >trading close to $6 another Post article had Mr. Adamou and fellow Taurus >analyst David Dvorchik claiming that Bid.Com was their top sell pick. >Recently, the stock has rocketed up on heavy volume, trading over 22 >million shares this week and breaking above $30. "It's not the first time >somebody has been wrong in calling one of these stocks," Mr. Adamou says. >Mr. Adamou points out that, apart from hype on Internet chat sites, nobody >would have predicted a $30 target for Bid.Com. He suggests that the large >number of retail traders who are managing their own portfolios and trading >over the Internet may, in part, account for the phenomenal rise in the >stock price. "There is clearly hysteria going on," he says. At present >prices, the company has a market capitalization of more than $1.5-billion, >and Mr. Adamou cannot square that with fundamentals such as a gross margin >of approximately three per cent and quarter over quarter growth of 1 1/2 >per cent. He adds that even potentially troubling news from competitors, >such as Amazon.com's announcement of a move into on-line auctions and >eBay's top auction spot on AOL, seems to have had no effect on the stock. >"It's trading on something that I have yet to decipher." >"Traditional valuation techniques no longer apply," Mr. Adamou says. He >adds that he does not begrudge anyone making money trading the stock. "As a >short term, no fundamentals, that's great," he says. He is willing to >entertain the notion that a new valuation model may surface which will >allow analysts to make sense of the Internet frenzy but he seems to lean >toward fundamentals eventually being reasserted and reflected in the share >price. "Either there has been a complete change in how we value things or >these stocks are way overvalued." Until Mr. Adamou is sure one way or the >other, he has decided that 'mum's the word' on Bid.Com.