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Technology Stocks : IDT *(idtc) following this new issue?* -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Hawaii60 who wrote (4522)4/11/1999 12:16:00 AM
From: Secret_Agent_Man  Respond to of 30916
 
FROM KSE on YAHOO a perspective for ALL imho..."Top Of The Evening
by: kennedy__style__entrepreneur
44817 of 44830
I am still thinking through the big
picture, and am very optimistic while
urging (as usual) caution and realism
and balance. For now, two points of
view.

For overoptimists, I think it is a
mistake to take for granted we go
straight to 40 or 50 or more. The
future looks bright, that could
happen, but just as I said we should
not be emotionally depressed at 12
we should not be emotionally overexuberant at 30.

For pessimists, there is a lot of
good news waiting to happen. We
only know one of the four companies
the company has talked about, there
is AT LEAST one more term sheet
company and two more they are talking
to seriously.

So for now, I am not going to get too
far into how many shares we will get
or how we will do on Monday. I just
dont know and I think in terms of
choices and decisions we have under
different scenarios.

One unknown may resolve itself, i.e.
the identity of corporate investors.
I am still amazed that Softbank went
public...this wasn't a leak, this
was a calculated move.

It is also obvious that CBS has some
excellent sources who want some news
getting out. My guess is that they
know "off the record" who the other
term sheet it. My guess is that
the players want them to know as
part of some plan. And my guess is
that there is a fair chance this
or other major revelations short of
a filing happen this week.

Raging Bull and CBS have both been
on the money so far. And the two
other companies that have prominently
been mentioned are Disney and AOL.
I would place the odds at 50-50
that at least one of these companies
is involved with Net2Phone and if
this is true word will be out fairly
soon.

Strategically on the deal, this is
what I am watching very closely for
evidence and clues.

Strategically on the stock, my sense
is that by the end of the week we
are higher than we closed on friday.
I also think that every time we gap
up, profit takers will come in, and
every time we fall back, buyers will
come in. There will IMO be swings
and trends both ways, back and forth,
with a net upward bias.

So if there is a strong short term
trend, expect a counter-move. Dont
panic if we slide, cause buyers will
come in, dont go wild if we shoot up,
because profit takers will come in.

For me, now, the words are balance,
perspective, objectivity and cool.
If the stock slides, I will be here
aggressively urging buys, and if the
stock rises, I will be here urging
calm. I expect to be trading some,
but dont have a clear sense of what
I will do, rather I have a clear
sense of how i react to various
things that might happen.

It has been an amazing run, and there
is more to go, with ups and downs
along the way. I have a strong hunch
that news (business announced, or
ipo leaked or openly discussed
softbank-style) will be the major
factor throughout the week.

regards,
kse"

cheers