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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Watcher's Thread / Pix of the Week (POW) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Stock Watcher who wrote (6122)4/11/1999 11:45:00 AM
From: LABMAN  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52051
 
Financial stocks become a refuge from CBS MKT WATCH
That is another reason why RCCK is a buy

Financial stocks become a refuge
After trailing broader market, suddenly they surge

By Emily Church, CBS MarketWatch
Last Update: 5:10 PM ET Apr 9, 1999
Market Snapshot
Bond Report

NEW YORK (CBS.MW) -- Investors are charging into the financial
stocks seeking safety from a spate of bad news elsewhere.

Although bank stocks were mixed Friday, they
climbed strongly in the past week, including a 2.44
percent jump on Wednesday.

It's about time. Financial stocks have been trailing
the broader market this year. The S&P Chicago
Board of Options Exchange Bank index ($BIX)
was up 5.9 percent year-to-date Thursday against
a 7.9 percent rise in the S&P 500 stocks and a 9.8
percent gain in the Dow Industrials.

"The question is are we at the beginning of a sector
rotation, and I'm not convinced that we really are,"
said Kevin Timmons, industry analyst at First
Albany.

"The gains over this week may have been as much
related to the blow ups by other companies
pre-announcing bad quarters," he said. "The banks
earnings have been pretty consistently going up and
it's a place to take some cover."

With first-quarter earnings reports starting to come
in for the regional banks, those recent gains that drove some issues into
record territory could be vulnerable. But most analysts are expecting a
solid quarter for the group, especially those with trading and investment
banking operations, or capital markets businesses.

The banks are also gaining on strong profits outlook for the brokerage
industry. Morgan Stanley Dean (mwd: news, msgs) trounced analysts'
estimates for its first quarter in late March, posting a 60 percent gain in
per-share profits on huge gains from trading. See full story.

Morgan Stanley's stock broke through its 52-week high with a gain of 4
to 111 1/2. Online broker National Discount Broker (ndb: news, msgs)
momentarily popped through its 52-week-high of 47 2/3 on Friday as
well, before ending the day with a modest 3/8 gain to 46 5/8.

Overall, analysts are expecting earnings for the money center banks will
be down 2 percent from the year-ago quarter, and that the regionals will
post 9 percent growth in profits, said Chuck Hill, director of research at
First Call.

Most of the money centers will report April 20 on 'super Tuesday.'
Leading the pack is Chase Manhattan (cmb: news, msgs), which analysts
expect to post a $1.25 per share gain vs. $1.18 a year-ago.

Possible surprises

Profits at Citigroup are expected to come lower at 86 cents per share vs.
90 cents a year ago, but analyst George Bicher at BT Alex. Brown is
expecting a surprise from the massive financial services company.

"The story of the first quarter is going to Citigroup," Bicher said. "Salomon
Smith Barney had a strong quarter, and there's very strong performance
across the board in corporate and consumer businesses... Things aren't as
bad as people were convinced they were overseas."

He's looking for Citi to come unchanged at 90 cents per share, "and I
think the company has it within itself to beat that."

A/D earnings estimates

Among estimated decliners: JP Morgan (jpm: news, msgs) is expected to
post earnings of $1.73 vs. $1.80 and Bankers Trust (bt: news, msgs),
which is merging with Deutsche Bank, is seen reporting $1.08 vs. $2.01.
Earnings for BankBoston (bkb: news, msgs), which is merging with Fleet
(flt: news, msgs) are estimated at 73 cents vs. 79 cents.

Estimated gainers include Bank of New York (bk: news, msgs), at 41
cents vs. 37 cents; Bank One Group (one: news, msgs) at 88 cents vs. 79
cents, Wells Fargo (wfc: news, msgs) at 50 cents vs. 47 cents and Fleet,
69 cents vs. 61 cents.

The regional banks posted 15 percent earnings growth in 1998, and
analysts are expecting the group to see 12 percent earnings growth this
year, Hill said.

Emily Church is New York bureau chief for CBS MarketWatch.

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To: Stock Watcher who wrote (6122)4/11/1999 12:03:00 PM
From: DOC HOLLIDAY  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 52051
 
SW,

I've been doing my homework on RCCK & MORE over the course of the week-end (can't seem to get away from market "game"!!)and have decided to jump in both (quite large) on Monday. These two stocks (haven't checked out FNHC yet) really seem poised for serious gains, and I thank whomever brought them to my attention.

Re. bringing HITT to INDEX#1...let me simply say HITT is my largest hold (in OTB-BB world) by far & am very confident it will make its mark in the internet portal sector...will see serious appreciation over the course of the year IMHO.

JUST DOC'S THOUGHTS