To: pezz who wrote (792 ) 4/11/1999 5:19:00 PM From: D. Long Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 36917
First, before you seriously start to suggest governments implement such extremely invasive programs as birth limits, the environmentalist movement must prove that an imminent species threatening disaster is about to occur. In the past two decades we all have been exposed to the rhetoric of eco-disaster. Those findings, such as ozone depletion, have not been universally accepted and have even been widely challenged. We only have numbers for roughly the past 200 years, hardly a span to analyze an anomoly in global patterns. The fact is that cow and pig dung is as polluting as automobiles. As Ron noted, volcanic activity alone can rival the sum of human pollution. Widespread death of oceanic algea can not be accurately determined to be the result of human activity or El Nino and a general trend in the Pacific. Studies of Antarctic glacier melt is actually leaning in the direction of natural causes. The results of two decades of study are not conclusive, to my knowledge. If you can show me accepted peer-reviewed results, I would be swayed. Second, it is inconclusive what drastic affects may result from an eco-disaster such as a ripped wide open ozone layer at the pole. World food supply issues are artificial. The US/Canadian breadbasket alone produces enough grain to feed the globe. The problem is with marginal regions such as dominates much of the third world. These regions will be the most in danger to any possible food crisis, especially given they are the fastest reproducers. The fact that traditional mechanisms of population control and subsistence have been eroded by well meaning or sometimes not so well meaning development efforts severely exasperates any potential problems. The Ethiopian famine of the 80's was not a result of natural failure, but of settlement programs which dislodged traditional people from traditional coping mechanisms, in addition to development efforts which deforested and stripped the landscape, heaped with a healthy dose of warfare. So the problem is not so much for the developed world, which has a negative birth rate and abundant food reserves. The real dangers are for the impoverished third world which has neither the infrastructure, the capacity, nor the money to absorb ecological change.