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Strategies & Market Trends : Anthony @ Equity Investigations, Dear Anthony, -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: FrozenZ who wrote (29484)	4/12/1999 4:03:00 PM
From: Anthony@Pacific	Respond to of 122087

Nope ..never..cant be....not possible....That is like saying we wont die and never have bad things happen.

To: FrozenZ who wrote (29484)	4/12/1999 4:15:00 PM
From: MaryinRed	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 122087

NOw...now.... look at it this way....kinda like when cars, and tv's and telephones hit the market.....made serious changes in how we live... well......here you are at the dawn of the Internet....(okay..at breakfast...smile...) and all the increased productivity of the computer age...will begin to affect the masses....(they can afford fast computers now.....and will even learn to do other things besides email, word process...and Internet)... we are all becoming more productive....my son...who is 16 has been able to teach HIMSELF Visual Basic, CT+++, Animation, CAD drawing and now....electronics...(schematics and all that specialized math) via computers...... it is amazing... and a ton of money that has been sitting in mutual funds...is moving out....as investors are taking control of the vast resources of the Internet..... I remember...back when I had to grab the newspaper....and run my finger down the page to follow my MSFT......well....it was not THAT long ago... enjoy it......this is not the end...smile....the investment community wants you to think...that so they can KEEP CONTROL....and churn and make commissions....but they are slowly figuring it out.... like that Discoverbrokerage commercial with the 18 yr old on the lawn in his helicopter...."YOU CAN'T CONTROL ME FOREVER!!"... smile....Mary

To: FrozenZ who wrote (29484)	4/12/1999 4:26:00 PM
From: J.Y. Wang	Respond to of 122087

Impossible. If for no other reason than this: For the bull market to continue forever it would mean that people will continuously underestimate earnings and earnings growth. I think a great individual example is Dell. Dell is a tremendous company and probably has the best management and execution in the world. Every quarter, Dell would smash earnings expectations and Dell's stock price would skyrocket after earnings. So the analysts raised earnings expectations and raised them and raised them. Last quarter, Dell barely met the earnings expectations and no more skyrocketing stock price. The stock market right now is in a more precarious position than Dell was/is. Earnings for the S&P have not been growing significantly for the past couple of years (and have remained about the same if it were not for massive "one time charges" which are not taken out of earnings). The S&P has gone up around 25-30% each fo the past two years with no real growth in earnings? If you take out something like 20 companies from the S&P 500, the S&P 500 was down last year (negative breadth). The same with the Nasdaq -- take out the big five (MSFT, CSCO, INTC, DELL, WCOM) and the rest would have sucked. What has to happen for the ponzi scheme to collapse? Another Brazil crisis, Russia to get involved militarily in Kosovo, Balkan crisis to spread to Albania, Macedonia or other countries, China to take Taiwan, civil unrest in China from all the layoffs, Greenspan to wake up on the wrong side of bed, etc. I used to be a real stock market bull but this market is just getting out of control. My friend is an econ PhD student at umich and she says pretty much all the economists think the market is way over-valued. It will come.