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Gold/Mining/Energy : Sun River Mining (SUNR) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: CIMA who wrote (746)4/12/1999 6:05:00 PM
From: Jim Bishop  Respond to of 1650
 
MarketMavensReport.com
Gold Market: Glittering Ideas
Updated every Thursday

Books: Gold & Gold Stocks
Newsletters: Gold & Metals

Look for Gold Stocks to Explode
Posted Thursday, April 08, 1999 at 09:42 AM EST
by Frank Barbera
Gold Stock Technician Newsletter

Long overlooked and much derided, Gold is in the process of recording a
multi-year bear market bottom and will begin a new bull market in 1999.
Underlying the coming bull market in gold will be a weaker U.S. Dollar, which
will decline as a result of lower interest rates, a weakening economy, a
widening trade deficit and money supply growth, which at an annual rate of
10%, is now pressing against multi-year highs.

A lower dollar will also begin to provide some relief for corporate profit
growth, which is now negative for the first time since the 1991 recession. We
expect gold to challenge the $350 to $360 area by year end and move above
$400 in twenty hundred. Gold stocks will explode to the upside amid the surge
in bullion after having spent the balance of the past three years in decline.

In our outlook for 1999, we have stated that gold stocks should notch triple
digit annual gains with the second half of the year providing most of the
strength. The U.S. stock market is peaking a 25 year secular bull market at the
current time and should register a major, multi-year top in the first quarter of
1999. By year's end we expect the popular market averages should be down
by at least 15% to 20% and could end up considerably lower if the Dow
breaks key support in the 7400 area. Deflation and a continuation of the
currency problems in both Asia and Latin America will be driving forces
behind the approaching bear market in equities. Internet stocks, most recently
the subject of an obscene mania, will decline by at least 40% to 50% between
now and year end.

Among senior mining issues, our top pick for overall safety, growth and
performance is Euro-Nevada Mining Corporation (Toronto:EN.TO 21.50),
a royalty-mining company. Together with sister company Franco-Nevada
(Toronto:FN.TO 24.20), Euro-Nevada owns and operates the Ken Snyder
Mine on the Midas property in Nevada. Combined with sharply increasing
revenues from its Miekle Mine royalty (operated by Barrick Gold ABX),
Euro-Nevada will continue its multi-year bull market and as the 'bluest of all
mining blue-chips', will in all likelihood, lead the gold stocks in the coming bull
market advance.

Among other mining companies we also believe that Stillwater Mining
(AMEX SWC 28 7/16) is uniquely positioned to benefit from sharply higher
prices for both platinum and palladium, both of which are in increasingly short
supply. Among junior mining companies, Campbell Resources (NYSE CCH
1/4), Agnico Eagle (NYSE AEM 5 3/16), Goldcorp (NYSE GGA 5 7/8),
and Alta Gold (Nasdaq ALTA 1/2) all appear to be fundamentally sound and
on a price basis, appear to be close to recording major bear market lows.

Source: Gold Stock Technician Newsletter, P.O. Box 2708, Palos Verdes
Peninsula, CA 90275.