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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bobby beara who wrote (10735)4/12/1999 7:58:00 PM
From: Lee Lichterman III  Respond to of 99985
 
To all, my MDA charts are updated as of now.

bb - While this may be a blowoff top and we are approaching some important resistance lines again, I have to say, I am in the bullish camp also (uh oh). Note my sector index charts. While all tech indexes dropped such asthe TXX, SOXX, XCI etc., the poor beaten down and previously unloved indexes broke through some important resistance lines or else have bullish breakouts from consolidation. Oil broke through and should run abnother 10 or so on the XOI, Natural gas broke free as I think I mentioned it might this weekend and even the PNX phone index I asked Don about made a bullish long white candle through the first resistance point. HCX health care, Pharmaceuticals DRG index are both looking good as is the Paper index FPP, BIX and BKX Bank indexes and even the gold index XAU. The real convincing one that made me turn, at least until I put the glue away, is the chemical index which hasn't gone anywhere for a long time CEX that moved up convincingly. We spoke this weekend about if the money would leave and stay on the sidelines or move into a sector rotation to the previously ignored sectors. The decision at least for one day has been it will go to these sectors.

Of course one day does not a trend make. I think this market won't drop until earnings are over or a bigger shock comes from numerous sectors or a big gun like MSFT or GE. LU was downgraded, we had a .8 to 1 TRIN all day and a negative TICK reaching 600 or so with no appreciable drop in the indexes. I don't see where any of the previously narrow stocks carried it but instead it seemed broad based across the market.

Anyone seen my velcro under wear, I need to get dressed now.

Good Luck,

Lee (less befuddled than before)



To: bobby beara who wrote (10735)4/12/1999 10:05:00 PM
From: Giordano Bruno  Respond to of 99985
 
Some viewed todays Internet action as a flight to safety.

That's right, and from the other side:

Excerpt from WSJ...

Internet IPO-mania "is going to stop somewhere, but for right now investor demand is adjusting itself upward such that it doesn't take into serious consideration the revenue or profit streams of these companies," said David Menlow, president of IPO Financial Network, Millburn, N.J.

"Profits," Menlow added, "were tossed out some time ago."