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To: Sleeper who wrote (7772)4/12/1999 10:10:00 PM
From: Jenne  Respond to of 29970
 
Broadband all the buzz on Wall Street
By Corey Grice and Aimee Male
Staff Writers, CNET NEWS.COM
April 12, 1999, 6:00 p.m. PT

Broadband stocks have made serious waves on Wall Street, as investors buy shares in firms that
are leading the charge for high-speed Net connections.

Among the big gainers of late are fiber optic network builders Qwest Communications International, Level 3
Communications, and the parent company of Williams Communications.

Qwest shares have climbed steadily since the beginning of the year, from the mid-50s in January to the
mid-90s today. Competitor Level 3 has seen its stock price jump 30 percent in a month's time. And Williams'
shares have been in strong demand in the wake of a planned $750 million IPO for its communications
division.

To be sure, broadband stocks are on a tear. Analysts say investors have caught on to the potential of
high-speed data networks to change the way we work and do business on the Internet.

"Almost every derivative of the broadband sector has seen tremendous movement over the last two weeks,"
said Mark Langner, an analyst at investment bank Hambrecht & Quist. "The common thread is that all of
these players either put customers on the broadband network or they take advantage of that broadband
network."

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Stocks surged to record highs today in what one analyst called a "leap frog effect" caused by several digital
subscriber line announcements, anticipation over quarterly earnings, and optimism following a series of
strong broadband IPOs.

High-speed digital subscriber line (DSL) providers Covad Communications and Rhythms NetConnections
posted new 52-week highs following that company's IPO last week.

Covad shares have followed a strong upward path since the firm's public offering. The stock has nearly
tripled since the IPO, and broke a new 52-week high today of 100.5. Shares were pushed higher by a
number of new DSL resale deals, and an appearance by Covad chief executive Robert Knowling Jr. on cable
business station CNBC, according to analysts.

DSL-focused network service provider Concentric Network has also posted strong
gains, as has broadband network equipment maker Tut Systems, and rumored
Qwest takeover target E.Spire Communications.

Concentric has nearly doubled its share value over the past month. After trading
in the mid-50s in March, the stock now trades over 100, hitting a new high of
109.5 today. E.Spire nearly tripled its daily volume last week following a Business
Week article that said the high-speed data company could be a takeover target.
Shares have traded as low as 4.3125, but as high as 23.375, in the past 52
weeks.

Looking to @Home
Some analysts are pointing to @Home as the reason for the recent broadband
breakout.

"What's driving this is @Home," said Tom Friedberg, an analyst at Janco
Partners, an equity research firm specializing in the telecommunications industry.
"Many people have valued Covad and Rhythms on @Home and if @Home comes
in ahead of its numbers the stocks may continue to run. If not, we may see a sell
off on Wednesday."

@Home is scheduled to report first quarter earnings and subscriber numbers
tomorrow after the market closes.

Indeed, Pacific Crest Securities analyst Brent Bracelin compared Covad to
@Home, a growing Net access provider which uses the competing cable modem
technology, when initiating coverage with a "buy" rating and setting a $100 price
target on Covad today. Bracelin said Covad and its DSL competitors could
perform even better than Wall Street darling @Home has.

"DSL service providers will become key enablers of broadband Internet access outpacing the sales growth of
cable modem providers such as @Home and Road Runner," he wrote in a report.

@Home, too, finished at a new all-time high today. @Home shares gained more than 9 percent to close at
189.3125. The stock has traded as high as 178.5 and as low as 23.5 in the past year.

Mainstream success
Langner said increased visibility has helped investors become more familiar with broadband access
providers such as @Home, Covad, and Rhythms, among others.

"People are beginning to realize that no longer will broadband be the purview of just the Fortune 1000," he
said. "I think there is a broader movement to the broadband sector."

For example, @Home's stock price has increased nearly 67 percent in a month, while Qwest shares have
gained more than 30 percent over the same period.

"Some high profile IPOs such as Rhythms have had a strong impact," Langner said. He said the huge
demand for faster Internet connections can be seen in the stellar performances of MGC Communications
and AvTel Communications.

Shares in MGC surged on news the local telephone provider would revamp its strategy and begin offering
DSL services. Trading in the mid-teens since the beginning of the year, the stock rose more than 250
percent on news last week, and went from an daily average of 175,000 shares traded to more than 6.3
million in one day.

AvTel shares spiked more than 1,200 percent last November when the company said it would roll out DSL
service nationwide. Nasdaq officials halted trading of the stock briefly due to the high demand and volatile
price fluctuation.

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