To: Tim Luke who wrote (27665 ) 4/16/1999 12:17:00 AM From: Tim Luke Respond to of 90042
i consider the gentlemen one of the smartest guys on SI and should be on your bookmark list. . . . .https://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=8956126 To: +Tim Luke (25359 ) From: +IQBAL LATIF Friday, Apr 16 1999 12:13AM ET Reply # of 25362 Tim-- Balkan have treacheros past, if you look at the root causes of many a troubles you would find that it was murder of the Hungarian Crown Prince in Sarajevo by some Serbs which ledto this confrontation between the Axis and Allies, but ground rules have considerably changed, although Mr Kissinger thinks that past can haunt us again but in my opinion even ground troops would not lead to a major conflict in heart of Europe, Greece is a part of Nato, Russia realises well that to protect Milosivic they well put the Russian nation future economic interests at stake, Germans are worried but they are not a material play, French areducking they have passed on the leadership to US or say Anglo Saxon axis, I would say it is totally different this time. Balkans like we have seen post Bosnia Dayton accord needs leadership, the Europeans does not have the politcal will or capibility to put things in order, simplified it may sound I would think that Serbian defince is already razes to ground, the Russian 'humanitarian help' is blocked in Hungary and do not forget Russia's Moscow Military district first time shares a border with a Nato country, so for me it is going to be over although market will fail to understand that and will sell, once Steve asked me what it is worth to the market a 1000 point I know one thing that it may test 1130 area but the recovery would be fat rathe Gulf war we may see selling before the action. Post action we may see a recovery, the chances of US or European troops being bogged down In Kosovo are little unlike Vietnam no one is going to stab the US from the back. I do see a very good chance of that happening and Clinton fighting for a place in history will do it efficiently. US has to lead the world and with an economic super power status they have been accorded a special responsibility of Global Peace this is a task no US President would ever be able to duck, yes US would need to amke those sacrifices and I think it is a nation bestowed by the 'Will of God' with this global Peace responsibility. Sacrifices would be made my many a Private Rayan's and that is what today world is reaping the benefit of, the beaches at Omaha and Normandy are witness to those thousands of unknown US and English soldiers who fought to flush out tyranny. The blood of thousands of martyrs raised a new Europe from ashes and a pst that is checkered with worst of 'extermination of mankind'. US has done it before they will do itthis time.