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Technology Stocks : Broadband Wireless Access [WCII, NXLK, WCOM, satellite..] -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SteveG who wrote (30)4/15/1999 2:58:00 AM
From: SteveG  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1860
 
TGNT: Secures Second Source For Multipoint Equipment
Bankers Trust Research/BT Alex. Brown Research
Bo Fifer,Jeffrey Hines
April 14, 1999

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TELIGENT INC. [TGNT] "STRONG BUY"
Secures Second Source For Multipoint Equipment
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Date: 04/14/1999 EPS 1998A 1999E 2000E
Price: 55.0 1Q (0.73) (2.20) NE
52-Wk Range: 63 - 18 2Q (1.12) (2.33) NE
Ann Dividend: 0.0 3Q (1.49) (2.46) NE
Ann Div Yld: 0.00% 4Q (2.00) (2.55) NE
Mkt Cap (mm): 3,702 FY(Dec.) (5.43)A (9.54) (10.30)
3-Yr Growth: FY P/EPS NM NM NM
CY EPS (5.43) (9.54) (10.30)
Est. Changed No CY P/EPS NM NM NM
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HIGHLIGHTS:
-- Teligent announced last night (14-Apr) that it has secured a second
supplier of wireless point-to-multipoint equipment (PMP). Hughes
Network Systems will now be supplying radios along with Teligent's
primary vendor, Nortel.

-- POSITIVE NEW NEWS: The Hughes radios up the ante significantly in
terms of PMP capacity. We believe the new radios will provide
multiple T3 (45 Mbps) capacity in a single 80 MHz channel (25 MHz per
fully-duplexed T3) for about the same cost as the 8xT1 radios that are
available today.

-- NEGATIVE NEW NEWS: NONE. But just to be clear, we do not expect these
radios to ship until 2H 1999, which is consistent with our thoughts on
general commercial PMP availability. For those who would have liked
to see a vendor credit facility in conjunction with this announcement,
we note that Teligent is sitting on about $1.2 billion in cash and
available bank credit (which is usually preferable to vendor credit,
anyway) and is not likely to require additional financing until 2001.

-- NET-NET: For those customers requiring T3 kinds of capacity, it used
to be that fiber was the only real alternative. We believe this
announcement pushes the "sweet spot" for fixed wireless access further
up market to the same kind of (highly profitable) users that had
previously been reserved for fiber.

-- VALUATION: Our 12-month DCF-derived price objective is $50/share. We
will be reexamining our price objective in light of recent
announcements. While the stock has run up to (and past) our price
objective, we believe TGNT is still very attractively valued relative
to other broadband local access plays (namely DSL). This announcement
also improves the company's ability to target larger high-end (i.e.
higher profit) customer base.