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Microcap & Penny Stocks : Bid.com International (BIDS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tiger USA who wrote (21452)4/16/1999 11:55:00 AM
From: WhatsUpWithThat  Respond to of 37507
 
FWIW, from Keith Benjamin's Weekly Web Report...

"IPO SPREAD NARROWING - We believe we are beginning to see a slightly
more rational IPO process in terms of the entourage of Internet
companies being introduced to the market each week. Comparing Q4
Internet-related deals to Q1, we found it interesting to note that the
average first day jump from the IPO offer price to the first trade,
declined from approximately 225% in the December quarter, to
approximately 156% in Q1. We expect this spread to continue narrowing
as more supply hits the market and as stocks stop going up after the
first day of trading. For reference, the average percentage change from
the closing price on the first day to the price two weeks later was up
31.4% in Q4 and up only 14.3% in Q2. We believe investors will learn to
avoid this frenzied trading as quickly as the first few deals start
going down after the first trading day. We have already seen a few
examples.
"

Interesting because it appears IPO mania is dying down a bit (which is actually good, for the market as a whole, anyway) - but note that first day gain still averages 150%! - and more importantly because the price two weeks later is still up 15% over the first day close.

So, IMHO, of course BIDS won't see a 150% gain on first day on NASDAQ, but it will pop...but it seems more reasonable to me that it follow the +-15% of the first day pattern. Some have indicated they feel it's going to hit NASDAQ and drop like a rock. If IPO's stay (on average) within 15% of the first day close after such dramatic climbs that day, I think it says something of the general appetite still for these small, new <g> stocks.

WUWT