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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: donald sew who wrote (11268)4/16/1999 7:15:00 PM
From: Rambo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Actually Don I see alot of credibility in this analysis...and think the NASD will bounce next week, but this is more wishful thinking rather than technical analysis speaking...bobr



To: donald sew who wrote (11268)4/16/1999 11:15:00 PM
From: Les H  Respond to of 99985
 
You have earnings from IBM, Compaq, and Microsoft next week. The last major tech index that's held up appears to be the Networking (NWX) and Telecom (XTC) indexes. This could change soon as Cisco (CSCO) is resting on its 50-day MA. The other regular index that's held up is the Bank (BKX) index.

The last time I recall this kind of quick rotation into the late cyclicals was in October of 1995 just when the techs peaked. I remember the steel, chemicals, oil, truckers, etc. The techs, financials, services, and retailers typically lead the market for longer periods since their growth is longer-term in nature.

The following provides a cyclical graph of sector rotation:

personal131.fidelity.com:80/products/education/content/sector.html